{"id":72072,"date":"2025-09-05T12:42:01","date_gmt":"2025-09-05T16:42:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/2025\/09\/05\/%e5%a4%b1%e4%b8%9a%e7%8e%87%e4%b8%8a%e5%8d%87%ef%bc%81%e5%8a%a0%e6%8b%bf%e5%a4%a7%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c9%e6%9c%88%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af25%e4%b8%aa%e5%9f%ba%e7%82%b9%e5%87%a0%e4%b9%8e%e6%9d%bf%e4%b8%8a\/"},"modified":"2025-09-05T12:42:01","modified_gmt":"2025-09-05T16:42:01","slug":"%e5%a4%b1%e4%b8%9a%e7%8e%87%e4%b8%8a%e5%8d%87%ef%bc%81%e5%8a%a0%e6%8b%bf%e5%a4%a7%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c9%e6%9c%88%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af25%e4%b8%aa%e5%9f%ba%e7%82%b9%e5%87%a0%e4%b9%8e%e6%9d%bf%e4%b8%8a","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/archives\/72072","title":{"rendered":"\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\uff01\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c9\u6708\u964d\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u51e0\u4e4e\u677f\u4e0a\u9489\u9489"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u7531\u4e8e\u4eca\u5929\u4e0a\u5348\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u5747\u5f31\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u672c\u6708\u964d\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u98d9\u5347\u81f3\u7ea690%\u3002\u5927\u591a\u6570\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u73b0\u5728\u4e5f\u5bf9\u964d\u606f\u5373\u5c06\u5230\u6765\u8868\u793a\u6709\u4fe1\u5fc3\u3002<\/p>\n

\n<\/figure>\n

\u6700\u65b0\u5c31\u4e1a\u62a5\u544a\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u59278\u6708\u5171\u51cf\u5c1165,500\u4e2a\u804c\u4f4d\uff0c\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u517c\u804c\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u5305\u62ec\u90e8\u5206\u88c1\u5458\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea2022\u5e741\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u6700\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u5c31\u4e1a\u635f\u5931\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4e0a\u53470.2\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u81f37.1%\u3002\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd8\u6708\u975e\u519c\u5c31\u4e1a\u4ec5\u589e\u52a022,000\u4e2a\u804c\u4f4d\uff0c\u4e5f\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5e02\u573a\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u672c\u6708\u964d\u606f\u7684\u62bc\u6ce8\u4e5f\u968f\u4e4b\u4e0a\u5347\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u503a\u5238\u6536\u76ca\u7387\u5168\u7ebf\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u52a0\u5143\u5bf9\u7f8e\u5143\u77ed\u7ebf\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u666e\u904d\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u75b2\u8f6f\u663e\u793a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7ecf\u6d4e\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u52a0\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u57289\u670817\u65e5\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\u964d\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u672a\u6765\u51e0\u4e2a\u6708\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n

\n<\/figure>\n

Desjardins\uff1a<\/strong>\u5c31\u4e1a\u51cf\u5c11\u5e7f\u6cdb\uff0c\u5de5\u8d44\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u9884\u8ba1\u592e\u884c\u672c\u6708\u964d\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u57fa\u51c6\u53ef\u80fd\u964d\u81f32.00%\u3002<\/p>\n

TD Economics\uff1a<\/strong>\u5c31\u4e1a\u4e0b\u964d\u62b5\u6d88\u4e0a\u6708\u589e\u5e45\uff0c\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u8fc7\u5269\u660e\u663e\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f9\u6708\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n

CIBC\uff1a<\/strong>\u5c31\u4e1a\u4e0b\u964d\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u8d38\u6613\u76f8\u5173\u548c\u6280\u672f\u670d\u52a1\u884c\u4e1a\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5347\u81f37.1%\uff0c\u9700\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n

BMO Capital Markets\uff1a<\/strong>\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u5f71\u54cd\u5e7f\u6cdb\uff0c\u7d2f\u8ba1\u5c31\u4e1a\u51cf\u5c1138,500\u4e2a\u5c97\u4f4d\uff0c\u652f\u6301\u592e\u884c\u7ee7\u7eed\u964d\u606f\u3002<\/p>\n

Oxford Economics\uff1a<\/strong>\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u5f71\u54cd\u6269\u5927\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u6216\u63a5\u8fd1\u8870\u9000\uff0c\u9884\u8ba19\u6708\u548c10\u6708\u5404\u964d\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

Capital Economics\uff1a<\/strong>\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u5bbd\u677e\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u81f37.1%\uff0c\u9884\u8ba19\u6708\u548c12\u6708\u5404\u964d\u606f25\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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