{"id":54671,"date":"2025-07-02T21:02:00","date_gmt":"2025-07-03T01:02:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/?p=54671"},"modified":"2025-07-02T13:06:18","modified_gmt":"2025-07-02T17:06:18","slug":"%e9%a6%96%e8%88%b9%e6%b6%b2%e5%8c%96%e5%a4%a9%e7%84%b6%e6%b0%a3%e5%95%9f%e8%88%aa-%e6%ad%a3%e5%bc%8f%e9%80%b2%e8%bb%8d%e4%ba%9e%e6%b4%b2%e5%b8%82%e5%a0%b4","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/archives\/54671","title":{"rendered":"\u9996\u8239\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u555f\u822a \u6b63\u5f0f\u9032\u8ecd\u4e9e\u6d32\u5e02\u5834"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n
\"\"<\/figure>\n<\/div>\n\n\n

\u672c\u5468\u4e00\uff0c\u4e00\u8258\u642d\u8f09\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u9996\u6279\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c23(LNG)\u51fa\u53e3\u8ca8\u7269\u7684\u6cb9\u8f2a\u5f9e\u5351\u8a69\u7701\u5317\u90e8\u6d77\u5cb8\u555f\u822a\uff0c\u6a19\u8a8c\u7740\u7531\u6bbc\u724c(Shell PLC)\u727d\u982d\u3001\u7e3d\u6295\u8cc7180\u5104\u52a0\u5143\u7684LNG Canada\u9805\u76ee\u6b63\u5f0f\u5546\u696d\u6295\u7522\uff0c\u4e5f\u5ba3\u544a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7d42\u65bc\u9032\u5165\u5168\u7403LNG\u5e02\u5834\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9019\u8258\u540d\u70ba GasLog Glasgow \u7684\u6db2\u5316\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u904b\u8f38\u8239\u7531\u6bbc\u724c\u79df\u8cc3\uff0c\u65bc\u4e0a\u5468\u516d\u62b5\u9054\u57fa\u8482\u99ac\u7279\u6e2f\u53e3(Port of Kitimat)\u9032\u884c\u88dd\u8f09\uff0c\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u5728\u672a\u4f86\u5e7e\u5929\u5c07\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u9996\u6279\u5927\u898f\u6a21LNG\u904b\u9001\u81f3\u4e9e\u6d32\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

LNG Canada\u9996\u5e2d\u57f7\u884c\u5b98\u514b\u91cc\u65af\u00b7\u5eab\u73c0(Chris Cooper)\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u201c\u6211\u5011\u975e\u5e38\u81ea\u8c6a\u80fd\u5920\u5728\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u898f\u6a21\u5316\u5730\u5f15\u9818\u4e00\u9805\u65b0\u7684\u80fd\u6e90\u4e8b\u696d\uff0c\u201d\u4e26\u7a31\u9019\u662f\u4e00\u500b\u201c\u5177\u6709\u6b77\u53f2\u610f\u7fa9\u7684\u6642\u523b\u201d\uff0c\u4e5f\u8aaa\u660e\u201c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7d42\u65bc\u80fd\u9760\u81ea\u5df1\u7ad9\u7a69\u8173\u8ddf\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

15\u5e74\u7b49\u5f85\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927LNG\u7522\u696d\u8fce\u4f86\u201c\u51fa\u6d77\u201d\u6642\u523b<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u9019\u6279\u51fa\u53e3\u8ca8\u7269\u7684\u555f\u822a\u8ddd\u96e2\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u897f\u6d77\u5cb8\u63d0\u4ea4\u9996\u4efdLNG\u51fa\u53e3\u8a31\u53ef\u7533\u8acb\uff0c\u5df2\u904e\u53bb\u5c07\u8fd115\u5e74\u3002\u5728\u6b64\u671f\u9593\uff0c\u8a66\u5716\u85c9\u52a9\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u8c50\u5bcc\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u8cc7\u6e90\u8207\u66f4\u77ed\u4e9e\u6d32\u822a\u7dda\u512a\u52e2\u7684LNG\u9805\u76ee\u9678\u7e8c\u63d0\u51fa\u3001\u53c8\u9678\u7e8c\u592d\u6298\uff0c\u539f\u56e0\u5305\u62ec\u8f38\u6c23\u7ba1\u9053\u722d\u8b70\u3001\u74b0\u4fdd\u6a19\u6e96\u6536\u7dca\u53ca\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u5e02\u5834\u8b8a\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5eab\u73c0\u8868\u793a\uff1a\u201c\u904e\u53bb\u5f88\u591a\u4eba\u8a66\u5716\u63a8\u52d5LNG\u9805\u76ee\u843d\u5730\uff0c\u6700\u5f8c\u53ea\u6709LNG Canada\u771f\u6b63\u555f\u52d5\u4e86\u3002\u5b83\u9ede\u71c3\u4e86\u6574\u500b\u751f\u614b\u7cfb\u7d71\u7684\u5e0c\u671b\u3002\u201d \u4ed6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u5df2\u6709\u591a\u500b\u9805\u76ee\u5982Woodfibre LNG\u3001Cedar LNG\u3001Ksi Lisims LNG\u9678\u7e8c\u63a8\u9032\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

S&P Global \u5929\u7136\u6c23\u5e02\u5834\u5c08\u5bb6\u4f0a\u6069\u00b7\u963f\u5fb9(Ian Archer)\u8868\u793a\uff0cLNG Canada\u4e0d\u50c5\u662f\u9a57\u8b49\u9805\u76ee\u672c\u8eab\u662f\u5426\u6210\u529f\uff0c\u66f4\u662f\u6574\u500b\u884c\u696d\u7684\u98a8\u5411\u6a19\uff1a\u201c\u9019\u662f\u5c0d\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u7522\u696d\u610f\u7fa9\u6df1\u9060\u7684\u4e00\u6b65\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e03\u5e74\u5efa\u8a2d\u671f + \u5f31\u9700\u6c42\u80cc\u666f\uff0cLNG Canada\u4ecd\u88ab\u5bc4\u4e88\u539a\u671b<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

LNG Canada\u4e00\u671f\u9805\u76ee\u7684\u5e74\u7522\u80fd\u70ba1400\u842c\u5678(mtpa)\uff0c\u5efa\u8a2d\u6b77\u6642\u8fd1\u4e03\u5e74\uff0c\u800c\u7576\u524d\u5317\u7f8e\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u9700\u6c42\u75b2\u8edf\uff0c\u52a0\u4e0a\u7d93\u6fdf\u8207\u5730\u7de3\u5c40\u52e2\u4e0d\u78ba\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u4ee4\u5176\u555f\u52d5\u986f\u5f97\u9817\u70ba\u7279\u6b8a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u4e0d\u904e\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u7f8e\u570b\u80fd\u6e90\u7f72(EIA)\u5728\u5167\u7684\u591a\u65b9\u9810\u6e2c\uff0c2025\u5e74\u4e0b\u534a\u5e74\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u50f9\u683c\u5c07\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u5317\u7f8eLNG\u51fa\u53e3\u80fd\u529b\u64f4\u5f35\u3001\u7528\u96fb\u9700\u6c42\u63d0\u5347\u5c07\u662f\u4e3b\u56e0\u3002EIA\u9810\u8a082025\u5e74\u7f8e\u570bHenry Hub\u57fa\u6e96\u50f9\u5c07\u5347\u81f3 4\u7f8e\u5143\/MMBtu\uff0c\u9060\u9ad8\u65bc2024\u5e74\u76842.2\u7f8e\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u52a0\u897f\u80fd\u6e90\u751f\u7522\u5546\u8207\u6295\u8cc7\u4eba\u4e00\u76f4\u76fc\u671bLNG Canada\u555f\u52d5\u80fd\u5e36\u52d5\u6c23\u50f9\u4e0a\u6f32\uff0c\u5982\u540c\u6a6b\u5c71\u8f38\u6cb9\u7ba1\u64f4\u5bb9\u5de5\u7a0b(TMX)\u555f\u52d5\u5f8c\u5e36\u52d5\u6cb9\u50f9\u4e00\u6a23\u3002\u4f46\u622a\u81f3\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u5c08\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\u5c0d\u5e02\u5834\u5f71\u97ff\u5c1a\u4e0d\u660e\u986f\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u53d7\u5132\u91cf\u9ad8\u4f01\u8207\u7ba1\u9053\u904b\u8f38\u53d7\u9650\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927AECO\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u73fe\u8ca8\u50f9\u57286\u6708\u4ecd\u7dad\u6301\u5728 1\u5143\/MMBtu\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u9060\u4f4e\u65bc\u7f8e\u570b\u50f9\u683c\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u5e02\u5834\u4ecd\u8655\u5728\u56b4\u91cd\u4f9b\u5927\u65bc\u6c42\u72c0\u614b\uff0c\u201d\u963f\u5fb9\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u201c\u5c31\u50cfTMX\u4e00\u6a23\uff0cLNG Canada\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u5e36\u4f86\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u4f46\u9700\u8981\u6642\u9593\u624d\u80fd\u986f\u73fe\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"\/<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

\u4e2d\u9577\u671f\u770b\u6f32\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927LNG\u7522\u80fd\u6216\u5c07\u7ffb\u500d<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5118\u7ba1\u77ed\u671f\u50f9\u683c\u4f4e\u8ff7\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u80fd\u6e90\u696d\u754c\u6b63\u5c0d\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u7d50\u69cb\u6027\u9700\u6c42\u589e\u9577\u5145\u6eff\u671f\u5f85\u3002\u7f8e\u570bLNG\u51fa\u53e3\u91cf\u9810\u8a08\u5230\u672c\u5341\u5e74\u672b\u5c07\u7ffb\u500d\u81f3 24-26 Bcf\/\u65e5\uff0c\u800c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u73fe\u968e\u6bb5LNG\u7522\u80fd\u70ba\u7d04 2.5 Bcf\/\u65e5\uff0c\u5982\u73fe\u6709\u9805\u76ee\u5168\u90e8\u843d\u5730\uff0c\u6709\u671b\u589e\u9577\u81f3 6 Bcf\/\u65e5\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7e3d\u90e8\u4f4d\u65bc\u591a\u502b\u591a\u7684\u6295\u8cc7\u516c\u53f8 Ninepoint Partners \u57282025\u5e74\u4e2d\u671f\u5c55\u671b\u4e2d\u9810\u6e2c\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u50f9\u683c\u672a\u4f86\u4e00\u5e74\u5c07\u5347\u81f3 4-5\u7f8e\u5143\/MMBtu<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5929\u7136\u6c23\u5c0d\u7f8e\u50f9\u5dee(\u76ee\u524d\u7d042\u7f8e\u5143)\u9810\u8a08\u5c07\u7e2e\u5c0f\u81f3 1.10-1.30\u7f8e\u5143<\/p>\n\n\n\n

LNG Canada\u76ee\u524d\u7531\u4e94\u5bb6\u4f01\u696d\u5408\u8cc7\u6301\u6709\uff1a\u6bbc\u724c\u3001\u99ac\u4f86\u897f\u4e9e\u570b\u5bb6\u77f3\u6cb9\u516c\u53f8Petronas\u3001\u4e2d\u570b\u77f3\u6cb9\u3001\u4e09\u83f1\u5546\u4e8b\u3001\u97d3\u570bKogas\u3002\u4e8c\u671f\u9805\u76ee\u82e5\u7372\u6279\uff0c\u5c07\u628a\u5e74\u7522\u80fd\u7ffb\u500d\u81f3 2800\u842c\u5678(mtpa)\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5eab\u73c0\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5408\u4f5c\u5925\u4f34\u6b63\u5728\u5bc6\u5207\u89c0\u5bdf\u4e00\u671f\u904b\u4f5c\u72c0\u6cc1\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4f9b\u61c9\u93c8\u3001\u7269\u6d41\u3001\u6210\u672c\u3001\u7af6\u722d\u529b\u3001\u653f\u7b56\u74b0\u5883\u3001\u6eab\u5ba4\u6c23\u9ad4\u8003\u91cf\u548c\u516c\u773e\u610f\u898b\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u201c\u6211\u5011\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u8981\u78ba\u4fdd\u4e00\u671f\u9806\u5229\u904b\u884c\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u8981\u9a57\u8b49\u4e8c\u671f\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u53ef\u884c\u6027\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u672c\u6708\u65e9\u4e9b\u6642\u5019\uff0c\u6709\u5a92\u9ad4\u5831\u9053Petronas\u6b63\u8003\u616e\u51fa\u552e\u5176\u5728\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7684\u8cc7\u7522\uff0c\u4f46\u8a72\u516c\u53f8\u5805\u6c7a\u5426\u8a8d\u4e86\u8a72\u50b3\u805e\u3002\u5eab\u73c0\u5f37\u8abf\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u4e94\u5bb6\u5408\u4f5c\u65b9\u76ee\u524d\u4ecd\u201c\u5c0d\u64f4\u5efa\u9805\u76ee\u4fdd\u6301\u9ad8\u5ea6\u8208\u8da3\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u7e3d\u7406\u8868\u614b\uff1a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6709\u4e16\u754c\u9700\u8981\u7684\u80fd\u6e90<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

\u5728\u9996\u6279LNG\u8ca8\u7269\u555f\u822a\u4e4b\u969b\uff0c\u7e3d\u7406\u99ac\u514b\u00b7\u5361\u5c3c(Mark Carney)\u4e5f\u767c\u8868\u8072\u660e\u7a31\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n

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\u201c\u6211\u5011\u6b63\u5728\u628a\u9858\u666f\u8b8a\u70ba\u73fe\u5be6\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u6709\u671b\u6210\u70ba\u5168\u7403\u80fd\u6e90\u8d85\u7d1a\u5927\u570b\uff0c\u4e26\u64c1\u6709G7\u4e2d\u6700\u5f37\u52c1\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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