{"id":42379,"date":"2025-05-15T21:14:01","date_gmt":"2025-05-16T01:14:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/2025\/05\/15\/%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e5%9b%a2%e9%98%9f%e7%a0%94%e7%a9%b6%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%ef%bc%9a%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e5%8f%98%e6%9a%96%e6%88%96%e8%87%b4%e5%96%9c%e9%a9%ac%e6%8b%89%e9%9b%85%e5%b1%b1%e8%84%89%e6%b2%bf\/"},"modified":"2025-05-15T21:14:01","modified_gmt":"2025-05-16T01:14:01","slug":"%e4%b8%ad%e5%9b%bd%e5%9b%a2%e9%98%9f%e7%a0%94%e7%a9%b6%e9%a2%84%e8%ae%a1%ef%bc%9a%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e5%8f%98%e6%9a%96%e6%88%96%e8%87%b4%e5%96%9c%e9%a9%ac%e6%8b%89%e9%9b%85%e5%b1%b1%e8%84%89%e6%b2%bf","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/archives\/42379","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u56fd\u56e2\u961f\u7814\u7a76\u9884\u8ba1\uff1a\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u6216\u81f4\u559c\u9a6c\u62c9\u96c5\u5c71\u8109\u6cbf\u7ebf\u533a\u57df\u964d\u6c34\u589e\u591a"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u3000\u3000\u5317\u4eac5\u670815\u65e5\u7535 (\u8bb0\u8005 \u5b59\u81ea\u6cd5)\u8bb0\u8005\u4ece\u4e2d\u56fd\u79d1\u5b66\u9662\u5927\u6c14\u7269\u7406\u7814\u7a76\u6240(\u5927\u6c14\u6240)\u83b7\u6089\uff0c\u8be5\u6240\u5468\u5929\u519b\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u56e2\u961f\u901a\u8fc7\u201c\u8fc7\u53bb\u6696\u671f\u6307\u793a\u672a\u6765\u5357\u4e9a\u590f\u5b63\u98ce\u53d8\u5316\u201d\u7814\u7a76\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5357\u4e9a\u5b63\u98ce\u964d\u6c34\u5c06\u6574\u4f53\u589e\u591a\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u5728\u559c\u9a6c\u62c9\u96c5\u5c71\u8109\u6cbf\u7ebf\u533a\u57df\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u8fd9\u4e00\u5168\u7403\u6c14\u5019\u53d8\u5316\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6210\u679c\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u65f6\u95f45\u670814\u65e5\u591c\u95f4\u5728\u56fd\u9645\u77e5\u540d\u5b66\u672f\u671f\u520a\u300a\u81ea\u7136\u300b\u4e0a\u7ebf\u53d1\u8868\u3002\u8bba\u6587\u901a\u8baf\u4f5c\u8005\u5468\u5929\u519b\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u672c\u9879\u7814\u7a76\u63ed\u793a\u51fa\u4e0d\u540c\u6c14\u5019\u589e\u6696\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\u5357\u4e9a\u590f\u5b63\u98ce\u53d8\u5316\u673a\u5236\u7684\u4e00\u81f4\u6027\uff0c\u4e5f\u5f3a\u8c03\u4e86\u53e4\u6c14\u5019\u53c2\u7167\u7269\u5728\u63d0\u5347\u672a\u6765\u6c14\u5019\u9884\u4f30\u51c6\u786e\u6027\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6f5c\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u8bba\u6587\u7b2c\u4e00\u4f5c\u8005\u3001\u4e2d\u56fd\u79d1\u5b66\u9662\u5927\u6c14\u6240\u535a\u58eb\u6bd5\u4e1a\u751f\u3001\u7f8e\u56fd\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\u540e\u4f55\u6797\u5f3a\u4ecb\u7ecd\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u6b21\u7814\u7a76\u7efc\u5408\u4e86\u56fd\u9645\u8026\u5408\u6a21\u5f0f\u6bd4\u8f83\u8ba1\u5212\u7b2c\u516d\u9636\u6bb5(CMIP6)\u6240\u6db5\u76d6\u7684\u8fc7\u53bb\u548c\u672a\u6765\u51716\u79cd\u589e\u6696\u60c5\u666f\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u4e2d\u4e0a\u65b0\u4e16(\u7ea6330\u4e07\u2013300\u4e07\u5e74\u524d)\u3001\u672b\u6b21\u95f4\u51b0\u671f(\u7ea612.7\u4e07\u5e74\u524d)\u3001\u4e2d\u5168\u65b0\u4e16(\u7ea66000\u5e74\u524d)\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u672a\u6765(2071-2100\u5e74)\u589e\u6696\u7684\u4f4e\u3001\u4e2d\u3001\u9ad8\u60c5\u666f\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6696\u671f\u53d7\u4e0d\u540c\u5916\u5f3a\u8feb\u56e0\u5b50\u7684\u9a71\u52a8\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u5927\u6c14\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u78b3\u6d53\u5ea6\u5347\u9ad8\u3001\u690d\u88ab\u589e\u52a0\u548c\u51b0\u76d6\u9000\u7f29\u3001\u5730\u7403\u8f68\u9053\u53d8\u5316\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u5357\u4e9a\u590f\u5b63\u98ce\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u6696\u671f\u548c\u672a\u6765\u9884\u4f30\u4e2d\u5448\u73b0\u7c7b\u4f3c\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u8868\u73b0\u4e3a\u5357\u4e9a\u5730\u533a\u964d\u6c34\u603b\u4f53\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u5b5f\u52a0\u62c9\u6e7e\u5b63\u98ce\u69fd\u73af\u6d41\u51cf\u5f31\uff0c\u963f\u62c9\u4f2f\u6d77\u5317\u90e8\u5b63\u98ce\u73af\u6d41\u589e\u5f3a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u5b63\u98ce\u964d\u6c34\u7684\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u6765\u6e90\u4e8e\u5168\u7403\u5e73\u5747\u589e\u6696\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u5927\u6c14\u6c34\u6c7d\u542b\u91cf\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u4e0e\u4e4b\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u70ed\u529b\u9879\u9075\u5faa\u201c\u6e7f\u66f4\u6e7f\uff0c\u5e72\u66f4\u5e72\u201d\u7279\u5f81\uff1b\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u6765\u6e90\u4e8e\u526f\u70ed\u5e26\u6b27\u4e9a\u5927\u9646\u53ca\u5317\u975e\u5730\u8868\u589e\u6696\u52a0\u5267\u6240\u9a71\u52a8\u7684\u5b63\u98ce\u73af\u6d41\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u6e29\u5ea6\u5e73\u6d41\u5bfc\u81f4\u5357\u4e9a\u5730\u533a\u52a8\u529b\u9879\u5448\u73b0\u201c\u5357\u5e72\u5317\u6e7f\u201d\u7684\u975e\u5747\u5300\u7a7a\u95f4\u683c\u5c40\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u7814\u7a76\u56e2\u961f\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5229\u7528\u8fc7\u53bb\u6696\u671f\u7684\u589e\u6696\u7279\u5f81\u4e0e\u5357\u4e9a\u590f\u5b63\u98ce\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u7269\u7406\u5173\u7cfb\u6784\u5efa\u7edf\u8ba1\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u5728\u672a\u6765\u9ad8\u6392\u653e\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u7ed9\u5b9a\u589e\u6696\u7279\u5f81\u540e\uff0c\u8be5\u6a21\u578b\u6240\u9884\u6d4b\u7684\u5b63\u98ce\u73af\u6d41\u548c\u964d\u6c34\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u4e0e\u6c14\u5019\u6a21\u5f0f\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u9884\u4f30\u7ed3\u679c\u5728\u7a7a\u95f4\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u4e0a\u5206\u522b\u8fbe\u5230\u7ea6\u516b\u6210\u548c\u4e03\u6210\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u3000\u3000\u5468\u5929\u519b\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u8fd9\u8868\u660e\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u8fc7\u53bb\u6696\u671f\u4e0e\u672a\u6765\u589e\u6696\u60c5\u666f\u53d7\u5230\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u5916\u5f3a\u8feb\u56e0\u5b50\u9a71\u52a8\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u5bf9\u5357\u4e9a\u590f\u5b63\u98ce\u7684\u672a\u6765\u53d8\u5316\u4f9d\u7136\u5177\u6709\u91cd\u8981\u6307\u793a\u4ef7\u503c\u3002\u7ed3\u5408\u5730\u8d28\u8bb0\u5f55\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u56e2\u961f\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u589e\u6696\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\u5357\u4e9a\u5b63\u98ce\u964d\u6c34\u5c06\u6574\u4f53\u589e\u591a\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u5728\u559c\u9a6c\u62c9\u96c5\u5c71\u8109\u6cbf\u7ebf\u533a\u57df\u3002\u8fd9\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u5f3a\u964d\u6c34\u4e8b\u4ef6\u589e\u591a\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u52a0\u5267\u6c14\u8c61\u884d\u751f\u707e\u5bb3\u7684\u53d1\u751f\u98ce\u9669\u3002(\u5b8c)<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u3000\u3000\u5317\u4eac5\u670815\u65e5\u7535 (\u8bb0\u8005 \u5b59\u81ea\u6cd5)\u8bb0\u8005\u4ece\u4e2d\u56fd\u79d1\u5b66\u9662\u5927\u6c14\u7269\u7406\u7814\u7a76\u6240(\u5927\u6c14\u6240)\u83b7\u6089\uff0c\u8be5\u6240\u5468\u5929\u519b\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u56e2\u961f\u901a\u8fc7\u201c\u8fc7\u53bb\u6696\u671f\u6307\u793a\u672a\u6765\u5357\u4e9a\u590f\u5b63\u98ce\u53d8\u5316\u201d\u7814\u7a76\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u5168\u7403\u53d8\u6696\u60c5\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u5357\u4e9a\u5b63\u98ce\u964d\u6c34\u5c06\u6574\u4f53\u589e\u591a\uff0c\u5c24\u5176&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-42379","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-guoji"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42379","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=42379"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/42379\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=42379"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=42379"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=42379"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}