{"id":34979,"date":"2025-04-12T18:42:02","date_gmt":"2025-04-12T22:42:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/2025\/04\/12\/%e5%8a%a0%e6%8b%bf%e5%a4%a7%e9%80%89%e6%b0%91%e8%83%bd%e5%a4%9f%e4%bf%a1%e4%bb%bb%e4%b8%80%e4%bd%8d%e6%8b%a5%e6%9c%893%e5%9b%bd%e5%9b%bd%e7%b1%8d%ef%bc%8c%e5%a6%bb%e5%84%bf%e9%83%bd%e4%bd%8f%e5%9c%a8\/"},"modified":"2025-04-12T18:42:02","modified_gmt":"2025-04-12T22:42:02","slug":"%e5%8a%a0%e6%8b%bf%e5%a4%a7%e9%80%89%e6%b0%91%e8%83%bd%e5%a4%9f%e4%bf%a1%e4%bb%bb%e4%b8%80%e4%bd%8d%e6%8b%a5%e6%9c%893%e5%9b%bd%e5%9b%bd%e7%b1%8d%ef%bc%8c%e5%a6%bb%e5%84%bf%e9%83%bd%e4%bd%8f%e5%9c%a8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/archives\/34979","title":{"rendered":"\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u9009\u6c11\u80fd\u591f\u4fe1\u4efb\u4e00\u4f4d\u62e5\u67093\u56fd\u56fd\u7c4d\uff0c\u59bb\u513f\u90fd\u4f4f\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u5417"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u57282024\u5e749\u67085\u65e5\u81f312\u65e5\uff0c\u6c11\u8c03\u673a\u6784Abacus Data\u5f00\u5c55\u4e86\u5168\u56fd\u6027\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u3002\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5f53\u5929\u4e3e\u884c\u9009\u4e3e\uff0c43%\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u4f1a\u6295\u7968\u7ed9\u8054\u90a6\u4fdd\u5b88\u515a\uff0c22%\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u5c06\u6295\u7968\u7ed9\u8054\u90a6\u81ea\u7531\u515a\uff0c\u6295\u7968\u7ed9\u65b0\u6c11\u4e3b\u515a\u548c\u7eff\u515a\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5404\u536018%\u548c5% \u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u8fc7\u5f80\u4e00\u5e74\u591a\u6765\uff0c\u8054\u90a6\u4fdd\u5b88\u515a\u4e00\u76f4\u9886\u5148\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u591a\u8fbe21\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u5927\u9009\u542f\u52a8\u540e\uff0c\u6839\u636e4\u67082\u65e5\u516c\u5e03\u7684Nanos\u6c11\u8c03\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u4e3a 45.8%\uff0c\u4fdd\u5b88\u515a\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u4e3a36.7%\u3002<\/p>\n

\u6c11\u8c03\u673a\u6784Postmedia-Leger\u5728\u540c\u4e00\u5929\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u6c11\u8c03\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u4e3a44%\uff0c\u4fdd\u5b88\u515a\u7684\u652f\u6301\u7387\u4e3a38%\u3002\u81f3\u4e8e\u5176\u4ed6\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u6c11\u8c03\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u8bf8\u5982Leger\u3001Mainstreet Research\u3001Pollara\u3001Angus Reid Institute\u3001Liaison Strategies\u548cEkos\u7b49\uff0c\u53d1\u8868\u7684\u8c03\u67e5\u7ed3\u679c\u5747\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4fdd\u5b88\u515a\u843d\u540e\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u591a\u8fbe9\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c31\u57286\u4e2a\u6708\u524d\uff0c\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u8fd8\u6fd2\u4e34\u5386\u53f2\u6027\u7684\u6e83\u8d25\u3002\u4f46\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u6c11\u8c03\u663e\u793a\u4ed6\u4eec\u6709\u671b\u8d62\u5f97\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u6700\u5f3a\u5927\u4e4b\u4e00\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u5927\u591a\u6570\u653f\u5e9c\u3002<\/p>\n

\n<\/figure>\n

\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u76846\u4e2a\u6708\u5185\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7684\u8054\u90a6\u653f\u5e9c\u7a76\u7adf\u53d1\u751f\u4e86\u4ec0\u4e48\u4e8b\uff1f\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a\uff0c\u5e76\u6ca1\u6709\u53d1\u751f\u592a\u591a\u7684\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002\u6267\u653f\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u653f\u5e9c\u5728\u4e24\u6b21\u8865\u9009\u4e2d\u5931\u53bb\u4e86\u56fd\u4f1a\u7684\u4e24\u4e2a\u5e2d\u4f4d\uff0c\u5e76\u5173\u95ed\u4e86\u56fd\u4f1a\uff0c\u4ee5\u907f\u514d\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u53d1\u8d77\u4e0d\u4fe1\u4efb\u6295\u7968\u3002<\/p>\n

\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u7ec8\u4e8e\u660e\u767d\u4e86\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u8981\u5173\u95ed\u56fd\u4f1a\u4e86\uff0c \u8fd9\u662f\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u7684\u5e55\u540e\u64cd\u7eb5\uff0c\u900f\u8fc7\u4efb\u547d\u4ed6\u4eec\u6700\u559c\u6b22\u7684\u94f6\u884c\u5bb6\u5361\u5c3c(Mark Carney)\u6765\u53d6\u4ee3\u675c\u9c81\u591a(Justin Trudeau)\u3002<\/p>\n

\u56e0\u675c\u9c81\u591a\u7684\u58f0\u8a89\u5df2\u4e00\u843d\u5343\u4e08\uff0c\u4ed6\u5df2\u6210\u4e3a\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u653f\u6cbb\u673a\u5668\u7684\u8d1f\u62c5\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u53ef\u4ee5\u5c06\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u8fd1\u51e0\u5e74\u7684\u5012\u884c\u9006\u65bd\u90fd\u5f52\u548e\u4e8e\u675c\u9c81\u591a\uff0c\u5e76\u5c06\u4ed6\u8e22\u5165\u6df1\u6e0a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u90a3\u4e48\uff0c\u5361\u5c3c\u53c8\u662f\u8c01\uff1f\u4ed6\u662f\u6ca1\u6709\u56fd\u4f1a\u8bae\u5e2d\u7684\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u603b\u7406\uff0c\u662f\u672a\u7ecf\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u9009\u6c11\u4e00\u4eba\u4e00\u7968\u63a8\u9009\u51fa\u6765\u7684\u603b\u7406\u3002\u5361\u5c3c\u5728\u5c31\u4efb\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u603b\u7406\u540e\uff0c\u7acb\u5373\u642d\u4e58\u653f\u5e9c\u4e13\u673a\u524d\u5f80\u6cd5\u56fd\u548c\u82f1\u56fd\uff0c\u5ba3\u5e03\u4ed6\u7684\u65b0\u5956\u676f\u5934\u8854\u3002\u4ed6\u662f\u7531\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u7684\u515a\u5458\u9009\u4e3e\u6765\u63a5\u66ff\u675c\u9c81\u591a\u7684\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u662f\u7531\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u9009\u6c11\u9009\u4e3e\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n

\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7684\u4e3b\u6d41\u5a92\u4f53\u8bd5\u56fe\u4e86\u89e3\u8fd9\u4f4d\u65b0\u603b\u7406\u7684\u66f4\u591a\u4fe1\u606f\uff0c\u4f46\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u5f97\u77e5\u5361\u5c3c\u4e0d\u559c\u6b22\u9762\u5bf9\u5c16\u9510\u7684\u63d0\u95ee\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5f53\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5e7f\u64ad\u516c\u53f8(CBC)\u65b0\u95fb\u7f51\u7684\u5df4\u987f(Rosemary Barton)\u5c31\u5361\u5c3c\u7684\u4fdd\u5bc6\u4fe1\u6258\u57fa\u91d1(blind trust)\u4ee5\u53ca\u4ed6\u591a\u5e74\u6765\u5728\u79c1\u8425\u90e8\u95e8\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u7ecf\u5386\u53ef\u80fd\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5229\u76ca\u51b2\u7a81\u8868\u793a\u8d28\u7591\u65f6\uff0c\u5361\u5c3c\u6beb\u4e0d\u542b\u7cca\u5730\u6559\u8bad\u5979\u8981\u201c\u5ba1\u89c6\u81ea\u5df1\u201d(look inside yourself)\uff0c\u4ed6\u8fd8\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4f60\u4ece\u4e00\u5f00\u59cb\u5c31\u6709\u6076\u610f\uff0c\u60f3\u8981\u5f15\u8d77\u51b2\u7a81\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\n<\/figure>\n

\u5728\u5361\u5c3c\u62c5\u4efb\u82f1\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u7684\u884c\u957f\u671f\u95f4\uff0c\u5de6\u7ffc\u548c\u53f3\u7ffc\u5a92\u4f53\u7684\u8bc4\u8bba\u90fd\u5bf9\u4ed6\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u98ce\u683c\u9887\u6709\u5fae\u8bcd\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u57c3\u5229\u5965\u7279(Larry Elliott)\u66fe\u57281996\u5e74\u81f32024\u5e74\u62c5\u4efb\u82f1\u56fd\u5de6\u7ffc\u65e5\u62a5\u300a\u536b\u62a5\u300b(The Guardian)\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7248\u7f16\u8f91\u3002\u4ed6\u627f\u8ba4\uff0c\u5361\u5c3c\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\u8fdc\u8fdc\u8d85\u8fc7\u6b63\u9762\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u4ed6\u5199\u9053\uff1a\u201c\u4ece2013\u5e74\u63a5\u66ff\u9ed8\u6587\u91d1(Mervyn King)\u62c5\u4efb\u884c\u957f\u90a3\u4e00\u523b\u8d77\uff0c\u5361\u5c3c\u5c31\u660e\u663e\u8ba4\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u662f\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\u5185\u6700\u806a\u660e\u7684\u4eba\uff0c\u5e76\u5e0c\u671b\u786e\u4fdd\u6bcf\u4e2a\u4eba\u90fd\u77e5\u9053\u8fd9\u4e00\u70b9\u3002\u4ed6\u4e0d\u662f\u90a3\u79cd\u4e50\u4e8e\u5fcd\u53d7\u611a\u6627\u7684\u4eba\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u53f3\u503e\u62a5\u7eb8\u300a\u6bcf\u65e5\u7535\u8baf\u62a5\u300b(Daily Telegraph)\u7684\u4e13\u680f\u4f5c\u5bb6\u6797\u6069(Matthew Lynn)\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u5728\u82f1\u56fd\u94f6\u884c\u4efb\u804c\u76848\u5e74\u91cc\uff0c\u5361\u5c3c\u5145\u5176\u91cf\u53ea\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u51b7\u6f20\u7684\u884c\u957f\uff0c\u6700\u574f\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u5219\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ee4\u4eba\u5931\u671b\u7684\u5931\u8d25\u8005\u3002\u201d\u201c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5361\u5c3c\u7684\u5e74\u85aa\u9ad8\u8fbe60\u591a\u4e07\u82f1\u9551\uff0c\u6bd4\u4ed6\u7684\u4efb\u4f55\u524d\u4efb\u90fd\u9ad8\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u4f3c\u4e4e\u5bf9\u8fd9\u4e2a\u804c\u4f4d\u6ca1\u6709\u4ec0\u4e48\u611f\u89c9\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4ed6\u4e0d\u65ad\u6539\u53d8\u5229\u7387\u65b9\u5411\uff0c\u4f26\u6566\u7684\u91d1\u878d\u754c\u5f88\u5feb\u5c31\u7ed9\u4ed6\u53d6\u4e86\u4e2a\u7ef0\u53f7\uff1a\u2018\u4e0d\u9760\u8c31\u7684\u7537\u53cb\u2019\u3002 \u201d<\/p>\n

\u5f53\u5361\u5c3c\u5378\u4efb\u592e\u884c\u884c\u957f\u65f6\uff0c\u201c\u7559\u4e0b\u4e86\u4e00\u5806\u70c2\u644a\u5b50\uff0c\u4ed6\u7684\u7ee7\u4efb\u8005\u4eec\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u52aa\u529b\u6536\u62fe\u3002\u82f1\u56fd\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u98d9\u5347\u81f311.1%\u7684\u9ad8\u70b9\uff0c\u800c\u6cd5\u56fd\u548c\u610f\u5927\u5229\u7684\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u7387\u5206\u522b\u4e3a5.2%\u548c8%\u3002\u610f\u5927\u5229\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4ee5\u6709\u6548\u63a7\u5236\u7269\u4ef7\u800c\u95fb\u540d\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u592e\u884c\u53d1\u4e86\u592a\u591a\u7684\u949e\u7968\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n

\u6cbb\u56fd\u7406\u653f\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u4ee5\u4eba\u4e3a\u672c\u3002\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\u7684\u884c\u957f\u662f\u4e00\u4f4d\u4e0d\u9732\u9762\u7684\u6280\u672f\u5b98\u50da\uff0c\u5176\u4e3b\u8981\u76ee\u6807\u662f\u900f\u8fc7\u63a7\u5236\u901a\u8d27\u81a8\u80c0\u6765\u786e\u4fdd\u8d27\u5e01\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\uff0c \u5e76\u4e0d\u8003\u8651\u4eba\u6c11\u7684\u798f\u7949\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8054\u90a6\u4fdd\u5b88\u515a\u4e00\u76f4\u5728\u8981\u6c42\u4e3e\u884c\u78b3\u7a0e\u9009\u4e3e\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u65b0\u4efb\u603b\u7406\u5361\u5c3c\u6682\u65f6\u5c06\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7684\u78b3\u7a0e\u964d\u4f4e(\u4e0d\u662f\u53d6\u6d88)\u81f3\u96f6\uff0c\u4f46\u5c1a\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4eba\u4e3a\u4f55\u5e94\u611f\u5230\u653e\u5fc3\uff0c\u540c\u4e00\u4e2a\u81ea\u7531\u515a\u653f\u5e9c\u5c06\u4ee5\u65b0\u7684\u9762\u8c8c\u540c\u90a3\u4e9b\u65e7\u5236\u5207\u5272\uff0c\u7a81\u7136\u628a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u53d8\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u80fd\u6e90\u8d85\u7ea7\u5927\u56fd\u3002<\/p>\n

\u8054\u90a6\u4fdd\u5b88\u515a\u7684\u515a\u9886\u535a\u52b1\u6cbb(Pierre Poilievre) \u6700\u8fd1\u627f\u8bfa\u53d6\u6d88\u5de5\u4e1a\u78b3\u7a0e\uff0c\u9009\u62e9\u900f\u8fc7\u7a0e\u6536\u62b5\u514d\u6765\u5956\u52b1\u90a3\u4e9b\u964d\u4f4e\u6392\u653e\u7684\u516c\u53f8\u3002<\/p>\n

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