{"id":28335,"date":"2025-03-21T14:56:22","date_gmt":"2025-03-21T19:56:22","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/2025\/03\/21\/%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e7%bb%a7%e7%bb%ad%e7%bb%b4%e6%8c%81%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e4%b8%8d%e5%8f%98-%e4%b8%8b%e8%b0%83%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bdgdp%e5%a2%9e%e9%80%9f%e9%a2%84%e6%9c%9f\/"},"modified":"2025-03-21T14:56:22","modified_gmt":"2025-03-21T19:56:22","slug":"%e7%be%8e%e8%81%94%e5%82%a8%e7%bb%a7%e7%bb%ad%e7%bb%b4%e6%8c%81%e5%88%a9%e7%8e%87%e4%b8%8d%e5%8f%98-%e4%b8%8b%e8%b0%83%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bdgdp%e5%a2%9e%e9%80%9f%e9%a2%84%e6%9c%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/archives\/28335","title":{"rendered":"\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7ee7\u7eed\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8 \u4e0b\u8c03\u7f8e\u56fdGDP\u589e\u901f\u9884\u671f"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

\u3000\u3000\u672c\u62a5\u8bb0\u8005 \u97e9 \u6631<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u636e\u65b0\u534e\u8d22\u7ecf\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u65f6\u95f43\u670820\u65e5\u51cc\u6668\uff0c\u5728\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u6b21FOMC\uff08\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff09\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5ba3\u5e03\u5c06\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u76ee\u6807\u533a\u95f4\u7ef4\u6301\u57284.25%\u81f34.50%\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea\u4eca\u5e741\u6708\u5e95\u4f1a\u8bae\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u518d\u6b21\u51b3\u5b9a\u7ef4\u6301\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u201c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4fdd\u6301\u57fa\u51c6\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u4e0e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u4e00\u81f4\u3002\u201d\u5de5\u94f6\u56fd\u9645\u63a7\u80a1\u6709\u9650\u516c\u53f8\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u7a0b\u5b9e\u5728\u63a5\u53d7\u300a\u8bc1\u5238\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u8bb0\u8005\u91c7\u8bbf\u65f6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u51b3\u7b56\u53cd\u6620\u4e86\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5bf9\u5f53\u524d\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u73af\u5883\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5ba1\u614e\u6001\u5ea6\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u58f0\u660e\u63d0\u51fa\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u4ee5\u7a33\u5065\u901f\u5ea6\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4fdd\u6301\u4f4e\u4f4d\u4e14\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u4f46\u901a\u80c0\u6c34\u5e73\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u9ad8\u4f4d\u3002\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u81f4\u529b\u4e8e\u5b9e\u73b0\u6700\u5927\u5c31\u4e1a\u548c2%\u7684\u957f\u671f\u901a\u80c0\u76ee\u6807\u3002\u9274\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u76d1\u6d4b\u65b0\u4fe1\u606f\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5e76\u51c6\u5907\u5728\u5fc5\u8981\u65f6\u8c03\u6574\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4ee5\u652f\u6301\u5176\u53cc\u91cd\u4f7f\u547d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5e7f\u5f00\u9996\u5e2d\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7814\u7a76\u9662\u8d44\u6df1\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u5218\u6d9b\u544a\u8bc9\u300a\u8bc1\u5238\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u8bb0\u8005\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u58f0\u660e\u4e2d\u63d0\u5230\u201c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u589e\u52a0\u201d\uff0c\u6bd41\u6708\u4efd\u8bae\u606f\u4f1a\u8bae\u58f0\u660e\u7684\u63aa\u8f9e\u201c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u201d\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5347\u7ea7\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5f62\u52bf\u5224\u65ad\u7684\u201c\u4e24\u96be\u5904\u5883\u201d\u5e76\u672a\u5f97\u5230\u6709\u6548\u6539\u5584\u3002\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u8003\u8651\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8c03\u6574\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u76ee\u6807\u533a\u95f4\u65f6\uff0c\u5c06\u4ed4\u7ec6\u8bc4\u4f30\u672a\u6765\u7684\u6570\u636e\u3001\u4e0d\u65ad\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u7b49\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5173\u4e8e\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4e3b\u5e2d\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u5728FOMC\u4f1a\u8bae\u540e\u7684\u65b0\u95fb\u53d1\u5e03\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4fdd\u6301\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u66f4\u957f\u65f6\u95f4\u4fdd\u6301\u653f\u7b56\u8282\u5236\u3002\u4f46\u662f\uff0c\u82e5\u7f8e\u56fd\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u75b2\u8f6f\uff0c\u5219\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u5fc5\u8981\u65f6\u653e\u677e\u653f\u7b56\u3002\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8fd8\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u65e0\u9700\u6025\u4e8e\u8c03\u6574\u653f\u7b56\u7acb\u573a\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5f02\u5e38\u9ad8\u6da8\u3002\u5f53\u88ab\u95ee\u53ca\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8870\u9000\u98ce\u9669\u65f6\uff0c\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u9884\u6d4b\u8005\u5df2\u7565\u5fae\u4e0a\u8c03\u8870\u9000\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u8870\u9000\u98ce\u9669\u201c\u4ecd\u7136\u5904\u4e8e\u76f8\u5bf9\u6e29\u548c\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u201c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5df2\u6b65\u5165\u4e0b\u884c\u901a\u9053\uff0c\u8870\u9000\u98ce\u9669\u6709\u6240\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4f46\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u8870\u9000\u5e76\u975e\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u4e3b\u6d41\u524d\u666f\u3002\u201d\u7a0b\u5b9e\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u5f53\u524d\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u4e0b\u884c\u8d8b\u52bf\u5df2\u9010\u6e10\u6e05\u6670\uff0c\u591a\u4e2a\u9886\u5148\u6307\u6807\u5df2\u53d1\u51fa\u8b66\u793a\u4fe1\u53f7\u3002\u4f46\u8fd1\u671f\u6570\u636e\u53ef\u80fd\u53d7\u5230\u5916\u751f\u6027\u653f\u7b56\u51b2\u51fb\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u653f\u7b56\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u5f71\u54cd\u4ecd\u9700\u6301\u7eed\u89c2\u5bdf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5bf9\u4e8e\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u9c8d\u5a01\u5c14\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u51c6\u786e\u8bc4\u4f30\u901a\u80c0\u6709\u591a\u5c11\u6765\u81ea\u5173\u7a0e\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u56e0\u7d20\u5c06\u975e\u5e38\u56f0\u96be\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6700\u8fd1\u4e24\u4e2a\u6708\u5546\u54c1\u901a\u80c0\u6570\u636e\u6301\u7eed\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u8fd9\u80af\u5b9a\u4e0e\u5173\u7a0e\u6709\u5173\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u672c\u6b21FOMC\u4f1a\u8bae\u53d1\u5e03\u7684SEP\uff08\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u9884\u6d4b\uff09\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5b98\u5458\u5bf9\u4eca\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fdGDP\u589e\u901f\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u503c\u4e3a1.7%\uff0c\u8f83\u5927\u5e45\u5ea6\u4f4e\u4e8e\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708\u4efd\u9884\u6d4b\u76842.1%\u30022026\u5e74\u30012027\u5e74GDP\u589e\u901f\u9884\u6d4b\u4e2d\u503c\u4e5f\u5206\u522b\u4ece\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708\u4efd\u9884\u6d4b\u76842.0%\u30011.9%\u4e0b\u8c03\u4e3a1.8%\u30011.8%\u3002\u9884\u8ba12025\u5e74\u81f32027\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u4e2d\u503c\u5206\u522b\u4e3a4.4%\u30014.3%\u30014.3%\uff0cPCE\uff08\u4e2a\u4eba\u6d88\u8d39\u652f\u51fa\uff09\u901a\u80c0\u4e2d\u503c\u5206\u522b\u4e3a2.7%\u30012.2%\u30012.0%\uff0c\u8f83\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708\u4efd\u9884\u6d4b\u6c34\u5e73\u6709\u90e8\u5206\u63d0\u9ad8\uff1b\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u901a\u80c0\u4e2d\u503c\u5206\u522b\u4e3a2.8%\u30012.2%\u30012.0%\uff0c\u5bf9\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u6c34\u5e73\u8f83\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708\u4efd\u9884\u6d4b\uff082.5%\uff09\u6709\u6240\u63d0\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5a01\u7075\u987f\u6295\u8d44\u7ba1\u7406\u56fa\u5b9a\u6536\u76ca\u57fa\u91d1\u7ecf\u7406Brij Khurana\u544a\u8bc9\u300a\u8bc1\u5238\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u8bb0\u8005\uff0cFOMC\u5c062025\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b9e\u9645GDP\u589e\u957f\u9884\u6d4b\u4ece2.1%\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f31.7%\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u5c06\u6838\u5fc3PCE\u9884\u6d4b\u4ece2.5%\u4e0a\u8c03\u81f32.8%\uff0c\u8fd9\u57fa\u672c\u4e0a\u662f\u627f\u8ba4\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9762\u4e34\u6ede\u80c0\u73af\u5883\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u6ede\u80c0\u98ce\u9669\u52a0\u5267\uff0c\u4f46\u6301\u4e2d\u95f4\u7acb\u573a\u7684\u59d4\u5458\u4ecd\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u57282025\u5e74\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u964d\u606f\u4e24\u6b21\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6570\u5b57\u7565\u4f4e\u4e8e\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u6700\u65b0\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u70b9\u9635\u56fe\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u9884\u8ba12025\u5e74\u7d2f\u8ba1\u964d\u606f50\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\uff0c\u4e0e\u53bb\u5e7412\u6708\u4efd\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u4e00\u81f4\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u7a0b\u5b9e\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4ecd\u9700\u5728\u8d38\u6613\u653f\u7b56\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u8f83\u9ad8\u7684\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\u7ef4\u6301\u653f\u7b56\u8fde\u8d2f\u6027\uff0c\u4ee5\u7a33\u5b9a\u5e02\u573a\u9884\u671f\u3002\u672a\u6765\u653f\u7b56\u8c03\u6574\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u89e6\u53d1\u70b9\u6216\u5c06\u66f4\u591a\u5730\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u9884\u8ba12025\u5e74\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u6700\u65e9\u57286\u6708\u4efd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u5168\u5e74\u964d\u606f2\u6b21\uff0c\u5171\u8ba150\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u3000\u3000\u5218\u6d9b\u4e5f\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u603b\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5728\u9632\u8870\u9000\u548c\u9632\u901a\u80c0\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u7565\u504f\u5411\u540e\u8005\uff0c\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u201c\u4e0d\u6025\u964d\u606f\u201d\u3002\u6700\u65b0\u53d1\u5e03\u7684\u70b9\u9635\u56fe\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u4eca\u5e74\u7684\u76ee\u6807\u5229\u7387\u4e2d\u67a2\u4e3a3.9%\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e00\u9884\u6d4b\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5e74\u5185\u964d\u606f\u5f88\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0d\u8d85\u8fc72\u6b21\uff0c\u5355\u6b21\u4e0d\u8d85\u8fc725\u4e2a\u57fa\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u3000\u3000\u672c\u62a5\u8bb0\u8005 \u97e9 \u6631 \u3000\u3000\u636e\u65b0\u534e\u8d22\u7ecf\u6d88\u606f\uff0c\u5317\u4eac\u65f6\u95f43\u670820\u65e5\u51cc\u6668\uff0c\u5728\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u6b21FOMC\uff08\u8054\u90a6\u516c\u5f00\u5e02\u573a\u59d4\u5458\u4f1a\uff09\u4f1a\u8bae\u4e0a\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u5ba3\u5e03\u5c06\u8054\u90a6\u57fa\u91d1\u5229\u7387\u76ee\u6807\u533a\u95f4\u7ef4\u6301\u57284.25%\u81f34.50%\u4e4b\u95f4\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u81ea\u4eca\u5e741\u6708\u5e95\u4f1a\u8bae…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-28335","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-finance"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28335","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=28335"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/28335\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=28335"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=28335"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=28335"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}