{"id":27079,"date":"2025-03-17T17:14:01","date_gmt":"2025-03-17T22:14:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/2025\/03\/17\/%e6%b8%a9%e5%93%a5%e5%8d%8evs%e5%a4%9a%e4%bc%a6%e5%a4%9a%ef%bc%8c%e8%b0%81%e7%9a%84%e6%88%bf%e4%ba%a7%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e6%9b%b4%e6%8a%97%e8%b7%8c%ef%bc%9f%e6%9c%89%e6%95%b0%e6%8d%ae%e6%9c%89%e7%9c%9f\/"},"modified":"2025-03-17T17:14:01","modified_gmt":"2025-03-17T22:14:01","slug":"%e6%b8%a9%e5%93%a5%e5%8d%8evs%e5%a4%9a%e4%bc%a6%e5%a4%9a%ef%bc%8c%e8%b0%81%e7%9a%84%e6%88%bf%e4%ba%a7%e5%b8%82%e5%9c%ba%e6%9b%b4%e6%8a%97%e8%b7%8c%ef%bc%9f%e6%9c%89%e6%95%b0%e6%8d%ae%e6%9c%89%e7%9c%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/archives\/27079","title":{"rendered":"\u6e29\u54e5\u534eVS\u591a\u4f26\u591a\uff0c\u8c01\u7684\u623f\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u66f4\u6297\u8dcc\uff1f\u6709\u6570\u636e\u6709\u771f\u76f8"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u636eFinancial 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data-attachment-id=\"5735501\" data-aspect-ratio=\"2.5776\" data-width=\"1080\" data-height=\"419\">\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/p0.51img.ca\/i\/67d73c9d8e8b1.png\"><\/figure>\n<p>\u9500\u552e\u91cf\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u5728\u516c\u5bd3\u5e02\u573a\u5c24\u4e3a\u660e\u663e\u30022025\u5e741\u6708\uff0c\u5927\u6e29\u7684\u516c\u5bd3\u9500\u552e\u91cf\u540c\u6bd4\u589e\u957f\u4e8614%\uff0c\u800c\u5927\u591a\u5730\u533a\u5374\u4e0b\u964d\u4e8612%\u3002\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u516c\u5bd3\u5e02\u573a\u4f9b\u8fc7\u4e8e\u6c42\uff0c\u5927\u6e29\u5730\u533a\u7684\u4f9b\u9700\u5219\u66f4\u4e3a\u5747\u8861\u3002\u4ece\u4ef7\u683c\u89d2\u5ea6\u770b\uff0c\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4e24\u4e2a\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u90fd\u4ece\u75ab\u60c5\u9ad8\u5cf0\u6709\u6240\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u4f46\u5927\u6e29\u5730\u533a\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u660e\u663e\u8f83\u5c0f\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"image\" data-attachment-id=\"5735507\" data-aspect-ratio=\"0.9549\" data-width=\"1080\" data-height=\"1131\">\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/p0.51img.ca\/i\/67d73c9e25f02.png\"><\/figure>\n<p>\u5927\u6e29\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u623f\u4ef7\u548c\u57fa\u51c6\u623f\u4ef7\u5206\u522b\u6bd4\u75ab\u60c5\u5cf0\u503c\u4e0b\u964d\u4e866%\u548c4%\uff0c\u800c\u5927\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u5730\u533a\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u6307\u6807\u7684\u8dcc\u5e45\u90fd\u9ad8\u8fbe15%\u3002<strong>\u623f\u4ef7\u53ef\u8d1f\u62c5\u6027\uff1a\u5927\u6e29\u623f\u4ef7\u66f4\u5408\u7406<\/strong>\u5c3d\u7ba1\u5927\u6e29\u5730\u533a\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u4f9d\u7136\u9ad8\u4f01\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u53ef\u8d1f\u62c5\u6027\u5728\u75ab\u60c5\u671f\u95f4\u5e76\u672a\u50cf\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u90a3\u6837\u6025\u5267\u6076\u5316\u3002\u5927\u591a\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u5728\u75ab\u60c5\u671f\u95f4\u56e0\u8d85\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u800c\u98d9\u5347\uff0c\u800c\u5927\u6e29\u5219\u57282018\u5e74\u548c2019\u5e74\u901a\u8fc7\u5916\u56fd\u4e70\u5bb6\u7a0e\u3001\u571f\u5730\u8f6c\u8ba9\u7a0e\u7b49\u653f\u7b56\u63d0\u524d\u964d\u6e29\u4e86\u5e02\u573a\u3002\u52302019\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u5927\u6e29\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u800c\u5927\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u5374\u540c\u6bd4\u4e0a\u6da8\u4e868%\u3002<\/p>\n<figure 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src=\"https:\/\/p0.51img.ca\/i\/67d73c9d8f45e.png\"><\/figure>\n<p>\u8fd9\u79cd\u5dee\u5f02\u4f7f\u5f97\u5927\u6e29\u623f\u5e02\u5728\u5229\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u65f6\u8868\u73b0\u51fa\u66f4\u5f3a\u7684\u6297\u538b\u80fd\u529b\u3002\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u56e0\u53ef\u8d1f\u62c5\u6027\u95ee\u9898\u800c\u66f4\u52a0\u8106\u5f31\uff0c\u800c\u5927\u6e29\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u5219\u76f8\u5bf9\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002<strong>\u653f\u7b56\u5e72\u9884\uff1a\u5927\u6e29\u623f\u5e02\u63d0\u524d\u201c\u964d\u6e29\u201d<\/strong>BC\u7701\u653f\u5e9c\u57282018\u5e74\u548c2019\u5e74\u63a8\u51fa\u4e86\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u964d\u6e29\u63aa\u65bd\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u63d0\u9ad8\u5916\u56fd\u4e70\u5bb6\u7a0e\u548c\u571f\u5730\u8f6c\u8ba9\u7a0e\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u653f\u7b56\u6709\u6548\u5730\u6291\u5236\u4e86\u623f\u4ef7\u7684\u8fc7\u5feb\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4f7f\u5f97\u5927\u6e29\u623f\u5e02\u5728\u75ab\u60c5\u524d\u5c31\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u8c03\u6574\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"image\" data-attachment-id=\"5735504\" data-aspect-ratio=\"3.0337\" data-width=\"1080\" data-height=\"356\">\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/p0.51img.ca\/i\/67d73c9dc845b.png\"><\/figure>\n<p>\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u623f\u4ef7\u5728\u75ab\u60c5\u671f\u95f4\u56e0\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u5bbd\u677e\u800c\u8fc5\u901f\u6500\u5347\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u5e02\u573a\u6ce1\u6cab\u66f4\u5927\u3002\u8fd9\u79cd\u653f\u7b56\u5e72\u9884\u7684\u5dee\u5f02\u4f7f\u5f97\u5927\u6e29\u623f\u5e02\u5728\u9762\u4e34\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u65f6\u66f4\u5177\u97e7\u6027\u3002\u5927\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u5219\u56e0\u524d\u671f\u6da8\u5e45\u8fc7\u5927\u800c\u66f4\u52a0\u8106\u5f31\u3002<strong>\u4f9b\u9700\u5173\u7cfb\uff1a\u5927\u6e29\u516c\u5bd3\u5e02\u573a\u66f4\u5e73\u8861<\/strong>\u5927\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u516c\u5bd3\u5e02\u573a\u5c24\u5176\u8106\u5f31\u3002\u4f9b\u5e94\u8fc7\u5269\u548c\u9700\u6c42\u75b2\u8f6f\u7ed9\u9500\u552e\u548c\u4ef7\u683c\u5e26\u6765\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u800c\u4eba\u53e3\u589e\u957f\u653e\u7f13\u548c\u915d\u917f\u4e2d\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u6218\u5219\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u8fd9\u79cd\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"image\" data-attachment-id=\"5735503\" data-aspect-ratio=\"3.6986\" data-width=\"1080\" data-height=\"292\">\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/p0.51img.ca\/i\/67d73c9dc9743.png\"><\/figure>\n<p>\u8be5\u5730\u533a\u7684\u516c\u5bd3\u5e02\u573a\u76ee\u524d\u6b63\u9762\u4e34\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u4f9b\u8fc7\u4e8e\u6c42\u95ee\u9898\u2014\u2014\u516c\u5bd3\u9500\u552e\u4e0e\u6302\u724c\u91cf\u6bd4\u4f8b\u6bd4\u957f\u671f\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u4f4e\u4e8660%\u3002\u800c\u5927\u6e29\u7684\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u662f\u5176\u957f\u671f\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u4e00\u534a\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5927\u6e29\u7684\u516c\u5bd3\u5e02\u573a\u867d\u7136\u4e5f\u6709\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u4f46\u5e76\u672a\u51fa\u73b0\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u90a3\u6837\u7684\u201c\u5e93\u5b58\u8fc7\u5269\u201d\u73b0\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"image\" data-attachment-id=\"5735508\" data-aspect-ratio=\"2.0339\" data-width=\"1080\" data-height=\"531\">\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/p0.51img.ca\/i\/67d73c9e3c4ce.png\"><\/figure>\n<p>\u4f9b\u5e94\u8fc7\u5269\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u9700\u6c42\u51cf\u5f31\u7684\u53cc\u91cd\u538b\u529b\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u5730\u533a\u7684\u516c\u5bd3\u4ef7\u683c\u5df2\u8fde\u7eed\u4e00\u5e74\u4e0b\u8dcc\u3002BC\u7701\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u534f\u4f1a\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Brendon Ogmundson\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5927\u6e29\u7684\u516c\u5bd3\u5e02\u573a\u76ee\u524d\u5904\u4e8e\u201c\u7565\u5fae\u504f\u5411\u4e70\u65b9\u201d\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u72b6\u6001\uff0c\u800c\u5927\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u5730\u533a\u5219\u56e0\u4f9b\u5e94\u8fc7\u5269\u800c\u9762\u4e34\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0b\u884c\u538b\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"image\" data-attachment-id=\"5735506\" data-aspect-ratio=\"2.5776\" data-width=\"1080\" data-height=\"419\">\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/p0.51img.ca\/i\/67d73c9e2940f.png\"><\/figure>\n<p><strong>\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\uff1a\u5927\u6e29\u66f4\u5177\u53d1\u5c55\u6f5c\u529b<\/strong>\u5927\u6e29\u5730\u533a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u4e5f\u4e3a\u623f\u5e02\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u652f\u6491\u3002\u4f5c\u4e3a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u897f\u6d77\u5cb8\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u57ce\u5e02\uff0c\u6e29\u54e5\u534e\u4e0d\u4ec5\u62e5\u6709\u5f97\u5929\u72ec\u539a\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u73af\u5883\uff0c\u8fd8\u53d7\u76ca\u4e8e\u548c\u4e9a\u6d32\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u7d27\u5bc6\u8054\u7cfb\u4ee5\u53ca\u79fb\u6c11\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u589e\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"image\" data-attachment-id=\"5735511\" data-aspect-ratio=\"0.8054\" data-width=\"1080\" data-height=\"1341\">\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/p0.51img.ca\/i\/67d73c9e86482.png\"><\/figure>\n<p>\u76f8\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u867d\u7136\u540c\u6837\u5f3a\u52b2\uff0c\u4f46\u5176\u623f\u5e02\u66f4\u591a\u5730\u4f9d\u8d56\u4e8e\u672c\u5730\u9700\u6c42\u548c\u6295\u8d44\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5927\u6e29\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u5efa\u8bbe\u6d3b\u52a8\u6bd4\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u66f4\u52a0\u6d3b\u8dc3\u3002\u6839\u636eTD Economics\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u5927\u6e29\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u5efa\u8bbe\u91cf\u5728\u8fc7\u53bb\u51e0\u5e74\u4e2d\u4fdd\u6301\u4e86\u8f83\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e3a\u672a\u6765\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u4f9b\u5e94\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u4fdd\u969c\uff0c\u4e5f\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u7f13\u89e3\u623f\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u7684\u538b\u529b\u3002<strong>\u5916\u90e8\u56e0\u7d20\uff1a\u5173\u7a0e\u6218\u5bf9\u5927\u6e29\u5f71\u54cd\u8f83\u5c0f<\/strong>\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u5173\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\u7ed9\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u623f\u5730\u4ea7\u5e02\u573a\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u4f46\u5927\u6e29\u623f\u5e02\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u5374\u6bd4\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u66f4\u52a0\u7a33\u5065\u3002<\/p>\n<figure class=\"image\" data-attachment-id=\"5735512\" data-aspect-ratio=\"2.7692\" data-width=\"1080\" data-height=\"390\">\n<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/p0.51img.ca\/i\/67d73c9e8b665.png\"><\/figure>\n<p>TD Economics\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6Rishi Sondhi\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5927\u6e29\u623f\u5e02\u5728\u9762\u4e34\u5916\u90e8\u51b2\u51fb\u65f6\u66f4\u5177\u97e7\u6027\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u539f\u56e0\u662f\u5176\u53ef\u8d1f\u62c5\u6027\u6761\u4ef6\u66f4\u597d\uff0c\u4e14\u516c\u5bd3\u5e02\u573a\u6ca1\u6709\u591a\u4f26\u591a\u90a3\u6837\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\u8fc7\u5269\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u4eca\u5e74\u6574\u4f53\u5f00\u5c40\u75b2\u8f6f\u5c06\u4f7f\u4e24\u4e2a\u5e02\u573a\u57282025\u5e74\u90fd\u96be\u4ee5\u5b9e\u73b0\u6b63\u5411\u9500\u552e\u548c\u4ef7\u683c\u589e\u957f\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u5c06\u5bf9\u4e70\u5bb6\u548c\u5356\u5bb6\u9020\u6210\u538b\u529b\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5bf9\u4ef7\u683c\u9020\u6210\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u201c\u8fd9\u62b5\u6d88\u4e86\u4f4e\u5229\u7387\u3001\u4e24\u4e2a\u5e02\u573a\u88ab\u538b\u6291\u7684\u4f4f\u623f\u9700\u6c42\u3001\u5904\u4e8e\u8d2d\u623f\u9ec4\u91d1\u5e74\u9f84\u6bb5\u7684\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u4eba\u6bd4\u4f8b\u589e\u52a0\u4ee5\u53ca\u66f4\u5bbd\u677e\u7684\u62b5\u62bc\u8d37\u6b3e\u89c4\u5219\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u652f\u6301\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<figure 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