{"id":24541,"date":"2025-03-08T14:56:08","date_gmt":"2025-03-08T19:56:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/2025\/03\/08\/%e5%b7%a6%e5%8f%b3%e4%b8%ba%e9%9a%be%ef%bc%81%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e5%85%b3%e7%a8%8e%e8%bf%ab%e4%bd%bf%e5%8a%a0%e5%9b%bd%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e8%80%83%e8%99%91%e5%a4%a7%e5%b9%85%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af\/"},"modified":"2025-03-08T14:56:08","modified_gmt":"2025-03-08T19:56:08","slug":"%e5%b7%a6%e5%8f%b3%e4%b8%ba%e9%9a%be%ef%bc%81%e7%be%8e%e5%9b%bd%e5%85%b3%e7%a8%8e%e8%bf%ab%e4%bd%bf%e5%8a%a0%e5%9b%bd%e5%a4%ae%e8%a1%8c%e8%80%83%e8%99%91%e5%a4%a7%e5%b9%85%e9%99%8d%e6%81%af","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/archives\/24541","title":{"rendered":"\u5de6\u53f3\u4e3a\u96be\uff01\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u8feb\u4f7f\u52a0\u56fd\u592e\u884c\u8003\u8651\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u606f"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u5173\u7a0e\u751f\u6548\uff0c\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u592e\u884c\u53ef\u80fd\u9700\u8981\u5927\u5e45\u964d\u606f\uff0c\u4ee5\u51cf\u8f7b\u5f71\u54cd\u5e76\u7a33\u5b9a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002<\/p>\n<figure 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Economics\uff09\u526f\u9996\u5e2d\u5317\u7f8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u5982\u679c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ee7\u7eed\u5f81\u6536\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u65e0\u7591\u5c06\u9677\u5165\u8870\u9000\u3002\u5230\u76ee\u524d\u4e3a\u6b62\uff0c\u52a0\u5143\u7684\u6709\u9650\u4e0b\u8dcc\u8868\u660e\u5e02\u573a\u4ecd\u5728\u6d88\u5316\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u5c06\u8fc5\u901f\u6539\u53d8\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002\u4f46\u5373\u4f7f\u5f88\u5feb\u53d6\u6d88\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5f81\u6536\u5173\u7a0e\u4e5f\u610f\u5473\u7740\u7f8e\u52a0\u8d38\u6613\u5173\u7cfb\u5c06\u53d1\u751f\u7ffb\u5929\u8986\u5730\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u5728\u79fb\u6c11\u6570\u91cf\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\u548c\u751f\u4ea7\u7387\u589e\u957f\u4e4f\u529b\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u6700\u597d\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u662f GDP \u589e\u957f\u6301\u7eed\u4f4e\u4e8e\u6211\u4eec\u4e4b\u524d\u7684\u9884\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u76ee\u524d\uff0c\u5e02\u573a\u53cd\u5e94\u6709\u9650\uff0c\u52a0\u5143\u5151\u7f8e\u5143\u6c47\u7387\u4e3a 0.69 \u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u4ecd\u9ad8\u4e8e 2 \u6708\u5e95\u521b\u4e0b\u7684 0.68 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Donald\uff09\uff0c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u7687\u5bb6\u94f6\u884c\u9996\u5e2d\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u7a0e\u5bf9\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u6700\u7ec8\u5f71\u54cd\u5c06\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5173\u7a0e\u4ee5\u53ca\u62a5\u590d\u63aa\u65bd\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u591a\u4e45\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u90fd\u662f\u653f\u6cbb\u51b3\u5b9a\uff0c\u5f88\u96be\u4ece\u7ecf\u6d4e\u89d2\u5ea6\u8fdb\u884c\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u8d27\u5e01\u7684\u53d8\u52a8\u4e5f\u662f\u5173\u952e\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u5b83\u53ef\u4ee5\u7f13\u51b2\u8fb9\u5883\u4e24\u8fb9\u901a\u80c0\u548c\u589e\u957f\u7684\u90e8\u5206\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u8868\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4e4b\u524d\u66fe\u5212\u5b9a\u4e86\u4e09\u5230\u516d\u4e2a\u6708\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u65f6\u95f4\uff0c\u4ee5\u663e\u793a\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u548c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u5b9e\u8d28\u6027\u4e0b\u964d\u3002\u5982\u679c\u5173\u7a0e\u5b9e\u65bd\u65f6\u95f4\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u5e74\uff0c\u90a3\u4e48\u5230 2025 \u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u5b9e\u9645\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u964d\u81f3\u96f6\uff0c\u5230 2026 \u5e74\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c06\u840e\u7f29 2%\uff0c\u5931\u4e1a\u7387\u5cf0\u503c\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc7 8%\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u4e00\u76f4\u672a\u5c31\u5982\u4f55\u5e94\u5bf9\u5173\u7a0e\u51b2\u51fb\u505a\u51fa\u627f\u8bfa\uff0c\u7b49\u5f85\u901a\u80c0\u6216\u589e\u957f\u5360\u4e3b\u5bfc\u5730\u4f4d\u3002\u5982\u679c\u6ca1\u6709\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u592e\u884c\u5c06\u9010\u6b65\u5c06\u5229\u7387\u964d\u81f3 2.25%\u3002\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u9884\u8ba1\u5173\u7a0e\u6301\u7eed\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u8d8a\u957f\uff0c\u5229\u7387\u4e0b\u964d\u901f\u5ea6\u8d8a\u5feb\u3001\u5e45\u5ea6\u8d8a\u5927\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u5c31\u8d8a\u5927\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p><strong>Royce Mendes\uff0cDesjardins Capital Markets 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