\u3000\u30003\u67081\u65e5\u7535 (\u5f20\u4e43\u6708)\u7a7a\u4e2d\u98de\u884c8\u5c0f\u65f6\uff0c\u53c8\u7b49\u5f85\u4e8617\u4e2a\u5c0f\u65f6\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u603b\u7edf\u6cfd\u8fde\u65af\u57fa\u7ec8\u4e8e\u89c1\u5230\u4e86\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u4f46\u4ee4\u5916\u754c\u77a0\u76ee\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4ec5\u4ec5\u51e0\u4e2a\u5c0f\u65f6\uff0c\u672c\u4ee5\u4e3a\u5df2\u5750\u4e0a\u8c08\u5224\u684c\u7684\u6cfd\u8fde\u65af\u57fa\u5c31\u4e0e\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0e\u526f\u603b\u7edf\u4e07\u65af\u7206\u53d1\u6fc0\u70c8\u4e89\u5435\uff0c\u968f\u540e\u88ab\u201c\u8d76\u51fa\u767d\u5bab\u201d\uff0c\u77ff\u4ea7\u534f\u8bae\u968f\u5373\u4ed8\u4e4b\u4e1c\u6d41\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u5176\u5b9e\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u573a\u201c\u620f\u5267\u6027\u7684\u4e89\u5435\u201d\u53d1\u751f\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u77ff\u4ea7\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u5df2\u88ab\u6253\u5305\u597d\uff0c\u7aef\u4e0a\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u201c\u9910\u684c\u201d\u3002\u8fd9\u4efd\u534f\u8bae\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u975e\u5e38\u6709\u5229\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5bf9\u5916\u5ba3\u79f0\uff0c\u5c06\u5229\u7528\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u7a00\u571f\u8d44\u6e90\u53d1\u5c55\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u548c\u519b\u4e8b\u6b66\u5668\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u201c\u7a00\u571f\u68a6\u201d\u6a2a\u751f\u679d\u8282\uff0c\u8fd8\u80fd\u5706\u68a6\u5417\uff1f<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u5176\u5b9e\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5bf9\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u77ff\u4ea7\u7684\u5174\u8da3\u5e76\u4e0d\u7a81\u7136\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u65e9\u57282017\u5e74\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u5173\u952e\u77ff\u4ea7\u8d44\u6e90\u5c31\u8fdb\u5165\u4e86\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u89c6\u7ebf\u8303\u56f4\uff0c\u800c\u5728\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4e2a\u4efb\u671f\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u63d0\u51fa\u201c\u6536\u8d2d\u683c\u9675\u5170\u5c9b\u201d\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u66f4\u52a0\u8bc1\u660e\uff0c\u4ed6\u5bf9\u4ece\u6d77\u5916\u652b\u53d6\u77ff\u4ea7\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u53ea\u662f\u5634\u4e0a\u8bf4\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u7279\u6717\u666e\u66fe\u79f0\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u201c\u975e\u5e38\u9700\u8981\u7a00\u571f\u201d\uff0c\u800c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u201c\u62e5\u6709\u5927\u91cf\u7a00\u571f\u201d\uff0c\u4e24\u56fd\u5c06\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u5efa\u7acb\u201c\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u201c\u7a00\u571f\u201d\u662f17\u79cd\u91d1\u5c5e\u5316\u5b66\u5143\u7d20\u7684\u7edf\u79f0\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u5143\u7d20\u5728\u73b0\u4ee3\u79d1\u6280\u548c\u5de5\u4e1a\u4e2d\u88ab\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5e94\u7528\uff0c\u5bf9\u7535\u8111\u3001\u667a\u80fd\u624b\u673a\u3001\u533b\u7597\u8bbe\u5907\u7b49\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u751f\u4ea7\u81f3\u5173\u91cd\u8981\uff0c\u66f4\u662f\u53d1\u5c55\u56fd\u9632\u3001\u822a\u5929\u3001\u7eff\u80fd\u7b49\u4ea7\u4e1a\u4e0d\u53ef\u6216\u7f3a\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u4f46\u662f\u5f00\u53d1\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7a00\u571f\u7684\u53ef\u884c\u6027\u5e76\u4e0d\u88ab\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u770b\u597d\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u6709\u7ebf\u7535\u89c6\u65b0\u95fb\u7f51(CNN)\u6b64\u524d\u5728\u62a5\u9053\u4e2d\u63d0\u5230\uff0c\u591a\u4f4d\u7f8e\u56fd\u73b0\u4efb\u548c\u524d\u4efb\u5b98\u5458\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5206\u6790\u4eba\u58eb\u548c\u4e13\u5bb6\u90fd\u5f3a\u8c03\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u8fd8\u4e0d\u6e05\u695a\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7a76\u7adf\u6709\u54ea\u4e9b\u53ef\u4f9b\u5f00\u91c7\u7684\u7a00\u571f\u8d44\u6e90\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u56fd\u9645\u8bc4\u7ea7\u673a\u6784\u6807\u51c6\u666e\u5c142\u6708\u7684\u4e00\u4efd\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u653f\u5e9c\u5173\u4e8e\u56fd\u5185\u7a00\u571f\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u201c\u82cf\u8054\u65f6\u4ee3\u5bf9\u4e00\u4e9b\u96be\u4ee5\u5f00\u91c7\u7684\u7a00\u571f\u77ff\u5e8a\u201d\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u7a00\u571f\u77ff\u85cf\u5f00\u91c7\u6216\u8bb8\u5e76\u6ca1\u90a3\u4e48\u6709\u5229\u53ef\u56fe\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e0d\u59a8\u788d\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7784\u51c6\u5176\u4ed6\u7684\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u77ff\u4ea7\u8d44\u6e90\u3002\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u4e3a\u6b64\u4ed8\u51fa\u4e86\u4e0d\u5c11\u7ecf\u6d4e\u548c\u5916\u4ea4\u52aa\u529b\u3002\u7f8e\u4e4c\u4e00\u5ea6\u5341\u5206\u63a5\u8fd1\u5c31\u4e4c\u5173\u952e\u77ff\u4ea7\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u5206\u4eab\u8fbe\u6210\u6846\u67b6\u534f\u8bae\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u8fd1\u4e24\u5468\u6765\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u3001\u8d22\u957f\u3001\u603b\u7edf\u4fc4\u4e4c\u95ee\u9898\u7279\u4f7f\u7b49\u8f6e\u756a\u4e0a\u9635\uff0c\u6e38\u8bf4\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5411\u7f8e\u6295\u8d44\u8005\u5f00\u653e\u77ff\u4ea7\u8d44\u6e90\u5f00\u91c7\u6743\u3002\u7f8e\u4e4c\u4e00\u5ea6\u5341\u5206\u63a5\u8fd1\u5c31\u4e4c\u5173\u952e\u77ff\u4ea7\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u5206\u4eab\u8fbe\u6210\u6846\u67b6\u534f\u8bae\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000CNN\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5728\u5168\u7403\u8303\u56f4\u5185\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u7a00\u571f\u8d44\u6e90\u50a8\u91cf\u4e0d\u7b97\u7a81\u51fa\uff0c\u5176\u77f3\u58a8\u3001\u9502\u3001\u949b\u548c\u94cd\u7b49\u77ff\u4ea7\u7684\u50a8\u91cf\u66f4\u52a0\u53ef\u89c2\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u8d44\u6e90\u4e5f\u90fd\u88ab\u7f8e\u56fd\u5217\u5165\u201c\u5173\u952e\u77ff\u4ea7\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u636e\u4e4c\u65b9\u62ab\u9732\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u62e5\u6709\u5168\u7403\u7ea65%\u7684\u201c\u5173\u952e\u539f\u6599\u201d\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec\u7ea61900\u4e07\u5428\u5df2\u63a2\u660e\u7684\u77f3\u58a8\u50a8\u91cf\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6b27\u6d32\u6700\u5927\u7684\u9502\u50a8\u91cf\u4e4b\u4e00(\u7ea650\u4e07\u5428)\u3002\u77f3\u58a8\u548c\u9502\u90fd\u662f\u7528\u4e8e\u5236\u9020\u7535\u52a8\u6c7d\u8f66\u7535\u6c60\u7684\u5173\u952e\u539f\u6750\u6599\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u949b\u4ea7\u91cf\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7ea6\u5360\u5168\u74037%\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u8f7b\u8d28\u91d1\u5c5e\uff0c\u53ef\u7528\u4e8e\u98de\u673a\u3001\u53d1\u7535\u7ad9\u7b49\u7684\u5efa\u9020\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u6709\u7edf\u8ba1\u79f0\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u949b\u3001\u94c1\u3001\u6c16\u3001\u954d\u548c\u9502\u7b49\u77ff\u4ea7\u603b\u4ef7\u503c\u53ef\u80fd\u57283\u81f311.5\u4e07\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u4e4b\u95f4\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u963b\u788d\u7f8e\u4e4c\u5171\u540c\u5f00\u53d1\u77ff\u4ea7\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\uff0c\u5e76\u4e0d\u53ea\u6709\u8fd9\u4efd\u672a\u80fd\u6309\u9884\u671f\u7b7e\u8ba2\u7684\u77ff\u4ea7\u534f\u8bae\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u201c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u77ff\u4ea7\u884c\u4e1a\u98ce\u9669\u9ad8\uff0c\u56de\u62a5\u9ad8\u3002\u201d\u8be5\u56fd\u667a\u5e93\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6218\u7565\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5bb6\u5170\u8fbe\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\uff0c\u8fd9\u91cc\u7684\u8bb8\u591a\u77ff\u4ea7\u8d44\u6e90\u5c1a\u672a\u5f97\u5230\u5f00\u53d1\uff0c\u201c\u4e0d\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u96be\u4ee5\u5f00\u91c7\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u53d7\u5230\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u516c\u53f8\u51ef\u6295\u5b8f\u89c2(Capital Economics)\u4f30\u8ba1\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7ea640%\u7684\u91d1\u5c5e\u548c\u77ff\u4ea7\u4f4d\u4e8e\u76ee\u524d\u88ab\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u63a7\u5236\u7684\u5730\u533a\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e00\u4e9b\u77ff\u5c71\u53ef\u80fd\u56e0\u519b\u4e8b\u51b2\u7a81\u906d\u5230\u7834\u574f\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u77ff\u4e1a\u6295\u8d44\u901a\u5e38\u9762\u4e34\u5de8\u5927\u7684\u524d\u671f\u6295\u5165\uff0c\u8fd9\u5bf9\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u53ef\u8c13\u201c\u5c4b\u6f0f\u504f\u9022\u8fde\u591c\u96e8\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u4e4c\u77ff\u4e1a\u54a8\u8be2\u516c\u53f8\u5730\u8d28\u6295\u8d44\u96c6\u56e2\u6267\u884c\u957f\u82cf\u666e\u4f26\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u53d7\u6280\u672f\u5236\u7ea6\uff0c\u5728\u8be5\u56fd\u5f00\u53d1\u77ff\u4ea7\u8d44\u6e90\u201c\u6781\u4e3a\u56f0\u96be\u4e14\u6210\u672c\u9ad8\u6602\u201d\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5efa\u8bbe\u91c7\u77ff\u6240\u9700\u7684\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u548c\u57f9\u8bad\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u540c\u6837\u5fc5\u4e0d\u53ef\u5c11\u4e14\u8017\u65f6\u6f2b\u957f\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u51ef\u6295\u5b8f\u89c2\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u5f00\u91c7\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u77ff\u85cf\u5728\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c42\u9762\u90fd\u4e0d\u592a\u53ef\u884c\uff0c\u201c\u5982\u679c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6548\u76ca\u4ecd\u7136\u4e0d\u4f73\uff0c\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u9884\u4f30\u50a8\u91cf\u53ef\u80fd\u4ecd\u5c06\u7559\u5728\u5730\u4e0b\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u7f8e\u56fd\u6ce2\u58eb\u987f\u5927\u5b66\u5546\u5b66\u9662\u91d1\u878d\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u5a01\u5ec9\u59c6\u65af\u63d0\u51fa\u4e86\u53e6\u5916\u7684\u601d\u8003\uff1a\u5373\u4fbf\u77ff\u4ea7\u534f\u8bae\u8fbe\u6210\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u53c8\u662f\u5426\u6709\u80fd\u529b\uff0c\u4e14\u610f\u613f\u5c06\u5176\u65e0\u9650\u671f\u5c65\u884c\uff1f\u4ed6\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4ee5\u63f4\u52a9\u8981\u631f\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\uff0c\u5982\u540c\u4e00\u4e2a\u201c\u673a\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4e49\u8005\u201d\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5219\u6210\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u201c\u652b\u53d6\u4ed6\u56fd\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u4e3b\u4e49\u5bf9\u51b2\u57fa\u91d1\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u201c\u8fd9\u7b14\u4ea4\u6613\u5f00\u521b\u4e86\u4e00\u4e2a\u8d1f\u9762\u5148\u4f8b\u3002\u201d\u5a01\u5ec9\u59c6\u65af\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u4e3a\u83b7\u5f97\u7f8e\u65b9\u7684\u201c\u5b89\u5168\u4fdd\u969c\u201d\uff0c\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u66fe\u5c06\u6700\u5b9d\u8d35\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\u7aef\u4e0a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u201c\u9910\u684c\u201d\u3002\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u8c08\u5224\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u66fe\u7ecf\u4f3c\u4e4e\u553e\u624b\u53ef\u5f97\u7684\u77ff\u4ea7\uff0c\u53c8\u88ab\u64a4\u4e0b\u201c\u9910\u684c\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u3000\u3000\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u7f8e\u4e4c\u95f4\u662f\u5426\u80fd\u5c31\u77ff\u4ea7\u534f\u8bae\u7ee7\u7eed\u8c08\u5224\uff0c\u5229\u76ca\u4ea4\u6362\u5c06\u5982\u4f55\u8fdb\u884c\u4e0b\u53bb\uff0c\u8fd8\u6709\u592a\u591a\u53d8\u6570\u3002<\/p>\n
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