\uff08\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7efc\u5408\u7535\uff09\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0a\u53f0\u624d\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u5a92\u4f53\u548c\u8bc4\u8bba\u5458\u5f62\u5bb9\u4ed6\u5982\u98ce\u5377\u6b8b\u4e91\u822c\u628a\u524d\u671d\u7559\u4e0b\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\u5168\u90fd\u63a8\u7ffb\uff0c\u7834\u65e7\u7acb\u65b0\uff0c\u5c3d\u663e\u4e00\u5df1\u7684\u5f3a\u786c\u98ce\u683c\u548c\u65e0\u4e0a\u5a01\u6743\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u5185\u548c\u56fd\u5916\u6380\u8d77\u7ffb\u5929\u8986\u5730\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002<\/p>\n
\u8457\u540d\u653f\u8bba\u5bb6\u3001\u5f17\u5409\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u653f\u6cbb\u4e2d\u5fc3\u4e3b\u4efb\u8428\u5df4\u6258\uff08Larry Sabato\uff09\u8bf4\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5c31\u50cf\u65e5\u672c\u6d41\u884c\u6587\u5316\u4e2d\u6d74\u706b\u91cd\u751f\u7684\u5de8\u578b\u602a\u517d\u54e5\u65af\u62c9\uff08Godzilla\uff09\u90a3\u6837\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u5185\u5916\u518d\u5ea6\u7ffb\u6c5f\u5012\u6d77\uff0c\u547c\u98ce\u5524\u96e8\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u4e0a\u4efb\u7b2c\u4e00\u5929\u5c31\u7b7e\u7f72\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u884c\u653f\u547d\u4ee4\uff0c\u6bd4\u7f8e\u56fd\u5386\u53f2\u4e0a\u4efb\u4f55\u4e00\u4f4d\u603b\u7edf\u90fd\u591a\uff0c\u5de9\u56fa\u4ed6\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u5404\u4e2a\u5c42\u9762\u7684\u52bf\u529b\u3002\u4ece\u90a3\u65f6\u8d77\uff0c\u4ed6\u4f3c\u4e4e\u65e0\u5904\u4e0d\u5728\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u505a\u5f88\u591a\u4e8b\u60c5\u3002<\/p>\n
\u5728\u5c31\u804c\u5178\u793c\u7ed3\u675f\u540e\u6570\u5c0f\u65f6\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5c31\u8d66\u514d\u56db\u5e74\u524d\u95ef\u5165\u56fd\u4f1a\u5927\u697c\u95f9\u4e8b\u76841500\u540d\u9a9a\u4e71\u8005\uff0c\u4f46\u8fd9\u53ea\u662f\u8ba9\u4eba\u773c\u82b1\u7f2d\u4e71\u7684\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u53d8\u5316\u7684\u5f00\u7aef\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e00\u58f0\u4ee4\u4e0b\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u542f\u52a8\u6253\u51fb\u79fb\u6c11\u884c\u52a8\uff0c\u53d6\u6d88\u79fb\u6c11\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u51fa\u751f\u7684\u5b50\u5973\u81ea\u52a8\u83b7\u5f97\u7f8e\u56fd\u516c\u6c11\u8eab\u4efd\u7684\u6743\u5229\uff0c\u5e76\u79f0\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u53ea\u627f\u8ba4\u4e24\u79cd\u6027\u522b\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4ed6\u64a4\u9664\u524d\u671d\u653f\u5e9c\u81f4\u529b\u63a8\u884c\u7684\u591a\u5143\u5316\u653f\u7b56\u53ca\u76f8\u5173\u804c\u5458\uff0c\u5e76\u5f00\u9664\u53ef\u80fd\u6311\u6218\u4ed6\u7684\u51b3\u5b9a\u7684\u5185\u90e8\u76d1\u7ba1\u4eba\u5458\u3002\u4ed6\u8fd8\u8981\u7f8e\u56fd\u9000\u51fa\u5df4\u9ece\u6c14\u5019\u534f\u5b9a\u548c\u4e16\u754c\u536b\u751f\u7ec4\u7ec7\u3002<\/p>\n
\u767d\u5bab\u8d70\u5eca\u91cc\u4e0d\u65ad\u56de\u8361\u7740\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u58f0\u97f3\uff1a\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u56de\u6765\u4e86\u3002\u201d\n<\/p>\n
\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4efb\u671f\u4e0e\u7b2c\u4e00\u4efb\u671f\u5f62\u6210\u9c9c\u660e\u5bf9\u6bd4\u3002\u4ed6\u4e0a\u6b21\u4e0a\u53f0\u5f15\u53d1\u6df7\u4e71\u548c\u4e89\u6597\uff0c\u4f46\u4ece\u8fd9\u51e0\u5929\u7684\u8868\u73b0\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u4ed6\u8fd9\u6b21\u6240\u8981\u5efa\u7acb\u7684\u65b0\u79e9\u5e8f\u662f\u7ecf\u8fc7\u5ba1\u614e\u7684\u89c4\u5212\u3001\u6267\u884c\u65f6\u7eaa\u5f8b\u4e25\u660e\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u901a\u8fc7\u660e\u786e\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u4f20\u8fbe\u3002<\/p>\n
\u56fd\u9645\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u901a\u8fc7\u8fbe\u6c83\u65af\u8bba\u575b\u7684\u5927\u5c4f\u5e55\uff0c\u544a\u8bc9\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u8981\u4e48\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u751f\u4ea7\u4ea7\u54c1\uff0c\u8981\u4e48\u9762\u4e34\u5173\u7a0e\u3002\u6574\u6574\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e5f\u4e0d\u65ad\u91cd\u7533\u5bf9\u683c\u9675\u5170\u5c9b\u548c\u5df4\u62ff\u9a6c\u7684\u9886\u571f\u5a01\u80c1\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4e54\u6cbb\u534e\u76db\u987f\u5927\u5b66\u5a92\u4f53\u4e0e\u516c\u5171\u4e8b\u52a1\u5b66\u9662\u9662\u957f\u6d1b\u683c\uff08Peter Loge\uff09\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u662f\u5728\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u4e00\u5207\u5728\u6211\u638c\u63a7\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n
\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e5f\u6ca1\u6709\u6539\u6389\u4e00\u4e9b\u6076\u4e60\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u5bf9\u624b\uff0c\u4ed6\u8fd8\u662f\u5fcd\u4e0d\u4f4f\u4e00\u518d\u5730\u8868\u8fbe\u4e0d\u6ee1\uff0c\u5e76\u7ee7\u7eed\u6563\u5e03\u8c0e\u8a00\u548c\u5938\u5938\u5176\u8c08\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4ed6\u4e5f\u65e0\u6cd5\u6297\u62d2\u9ea6\u514b\u98ce\u7684\u8bf1\u60d1\uff0c\u81ea\u56de\u5f52\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4ed6\u4e0e\u5a92\u4f53\u4e3e\u884c\u4e00\u7cfb\u5217\u968f\u5fc3\u6240\u6b32\u7684\u4f1a\u9762\uff0c\u5e76\u95ee\u8bb0\u8005\uff1a\u201c\u62dc\u767b\u66fe\u5f00\u8fc7\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u8bb0\u8005\u4f1a\u5417\uff1f\u201d<\/p>\n
\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7684\u4e3b\u8981\u627f\u8bfa\u4e5f\u672a\u5151\u73b0\uff1a\u7f8e\u56fd\u98df\u54c1\u6742\u8d27\u4ef7\u683c\u4ecd\u5c45\u9ad8\u4e0d\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ed6\u5938\u53e3\u5c31\u4efb24\u5c0f\u65f6\u5185\u7ed3\u675f\u4fc4\u4e4c\u6218\u4e89\uff0c\u4f46\u6218\u706b\u8fd8\u5728\u71c3\u70e7\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7279\u6717\u666e\u627f\u8bfa\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c06\u8fce\u6765\u9ec4\u91d1\u65f6\u4ee3\uff0c\u4f46\u4ed6\u7684\u6279\u8bc4\u8005\u62c5\u5fc3\u9ed1\u6697\u7684\u4e00\u9762\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u4e00\u540d\u6781\u53f3\u7ffc\u56fd\u4f1a\u9a9a\u4e71\u53c2\u4e0e\u8005\u5728\u83b7\u5f97\u8d66\u514d\u4e24\u5929\u540e\u53c2\u89c2\u56fd\u4f1a\u5927\u53a6\uff1b\u4e00\u4e2a\u65b0\u7eb3\u7cb9\u56e2\u4f53\u53c2\u4e0e\u5728\u534e\u76db\u987f\u4e3e\u884c\u7684\u53cd\u5815\u80ce\u6e38\u884c\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u672c\u4eba\u901a\u8fc7\u89c6\u9891\u81f4\u8f9e\u3002<\/p>\n
\u8428\u5df4\u6258\u8bf4\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e00\u5fc3\u60f3\u6062\u590d\u7f57\u65af\u798f\u5230\u5c3c\u514b\u900a\u603b\u7edf\u62e5\u6709\u5e1d\u738b\u5f0f\u6743\u529b\u7684\u65f6\u4ee3\uff0c\u4f46\u90a3\u4e2a\u201c\u65f6\u4ee3\u65e9\u5df2\u8fc7\u53bb\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u5f3a\u5927\u516c\u4f17\u652f\u6301\uff0c\u6765\u7ef4\u6301\u4ed6\u6240\u5c55\u73b0\u7684\u5f3a\u786c\u5f62\u8c61\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u4f46\u5171\u548c\u515a\u4f9d\u7136\u662f\u4ed6\u7684\u540e\u76fe\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f17\u8bae\u9662\u8bae\u957f\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\u661f\u671f\u516d\uff081\u670825\u65e5\uff09\u53d1\u51fd\u7ed9\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff0c\u8bf7\u4ed6\u57283\u67084\u65e5\uff0c\u5411\u56fd\u4f1a\u4e24\u9662\u8054\u5e2d\u4f1a\u8bae\u53d1\u8868\u91cd\u8fd4\u767d\u5bab\u540e\u7684\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u6f14\u8bf4\uff0c\u9610\u8ff0\u4ed6\u7684\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u4f18\u5148\u613f\u666f\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n
\u7ea6\u7ff0\u900a\u8d5e\u626c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4efb\u671f\u7b2c\u4e00\u5468\u7684\u201c\u5f3a\u6709\u529b\u9886\u5bfc\u548c\u5927\u80c6\u884c\u52a8\u201d\u3002\u4ed6\u5f15\u7528\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5c31\u804c\u6f14\u8bf4\u4e2d\u7684\u8bdd\u8bf4\uff1a\u201c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7684\u9ec4\u91d1\u65f6\u4ee3\u5df2\u7ecf\u5f00\u59cb\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
\uff08\u534e\u76db\u987f\u7efc\u5408\u7535\uff09\u7f8e\u56fd\u603b\u7edf\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0a\u53f0\u624d\u4e00\u5468\uff0c\u5a92\u4f53\u548c\u8bc4\u8bba\u5458\u5f62\u5bb9\u4ed6\u5982\u98ce\u5377\u6b8b\u4e91\u822c\u628a\u524d\u671d\u7559\u4e0b\u7684\u4e1c\u897f\u5168\u90fd\u63a8\u7ffb\uff0c\u7834\u65e7\u7acb\u65b0\uff0c\u5c3d\u663e\u4e00\u5df1\u7684\u5f3a\u786c\u98ce\u683c\u548c\u65e0\u4e0a\u5a01\u6743\uff0c\u5728\u56fd\u5185\u548c\u56fd\u5916\u6380\u8d77\u7ffb\u5929\u8986\u5730\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002 \u8457\u540d\u653f\u8bba\u5bb6\u3001\u5f17\u5409\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5927\u5b66\u653f\u6cbb…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[4],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-12469","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-guoji"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12469","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=12469"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/12469\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=12469"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=12469"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=12469"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}