{"id":102875,"date":"2026-01-07T13:42:01","date_gmt":"2026-01-07T18:42:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/2026\/01\/07\/2025%e5%b9%b412%e6%9c%88%e4%bb%bd%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e5%88%b6%e9%80%a0%e4%b8%9a%e9%87%87%e8%b4%ad%e7%bb%8f%e7%90%86%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b0%e8%be%83%e4%b8%8a%e6%9c%88%e5%be%ae%e5%b9%85%e4%b8%8b%e9%99%8d\/"},"modified":"2026-01-07T13:42:01","modified_gmt":"2026-01-07T18:42:01","slug":"2025%e5%b9%b412%e6%9c%88%e4%bb%bd%e5%85%a8%e7%90%83%e5%88%b6%e9%80%a0%e4%b8%9a%e9%87%87%e8%b4%ad%e7%bb%8f%e7%90%86%e6%8c%87%e6%95%b0%e8%be%83%e4%b8%8a%e6%9c%88%e5%be%ae%e5%b9%85%e4%b8%8b%e9%99%8d","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/archives\/102875","title":{"rendered":"2025\u5e7412\u6708\u4efd\u5168\u7403\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u91c7\u8d2d\u7ecf\u7406\u6307\u6570\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u5fae\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"trs_editor_view TRS_UEDITOR trs_paper_default\">\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">\u4e2d\u56fd\u7269\u6d41\u4e0e\u91c7\u8d2d\u8054\u5408\u4f1a\u53d1\u5e03\uff0c2025\u5e7412\u6708\u4efd\u5168\u7403\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4e3a49.5%\uff0c\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u5fae\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d0.1\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed10\u4e2a\u6708\u8fd0\u884c\u572849%-50%\u7684\u533a\u95f4\u5185\u30022025\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u5747\u503c\u4e3a49.6%\uff0c\u8f832024\u5e74\u4e0a\u53470.3\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">\u5206\u533a\u57df\u770b\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5347\u81f351%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff1b\u6b27\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4ecd\u572850%\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff1b\u975e\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u5347\u81f350%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff1b\u7f8e\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u964d\u81f348%\u4ee5\u4e0b\u30022025\u5e74\uff0c\u5404\u533a\u57df\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u5747\u503c\u6c34\u5e73\u8f832024\u5e74\u8d70\u52bf\u6709\u6240\u5206\u5316\u3002\u4e9a\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u5747\u503c\u4e3a50.8%\uff0c\u8f832024\u5e74\u5fae\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d0.1\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff1b\u975e\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u5747\u503c\u4e3a50.2%\uff0c\u8f832024\u5e74\u4e0a\u53470.7\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff1b\u7f8e\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u5747\u503c\u4e3a48.8%\uff0c\u8f832024\u5e74\u6301\u5e73\uff1b\u6b27\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u5747\u503c\u4e3a48.8%\uff0c\u8f832024\u5e74\u4e0a\u53471.1\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">\u7efc\u5408\u6307\u6570\u53d8\u5316\uff0c12\u6708\u5168\u7403\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u590d\u82cf\u52a8\u80fd\u6301\u7eed\u5c0f\u5e45\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u4ecd\u7a33\u5b9a\u8fd0\u884c\u4e8e49%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u7ef4\u6301\u5f31\u52bf\u590d\u82cf\u683c\u5c40\uff0c\u4f46\u590d\u82cf\u5f3a\u5ea6\u5c1a\u672a\u5f62\u6210\u6709\u6548\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u4ecd\u9700\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5de9\u56fa\u63d0\u5347\u3002\u5206\u533a\u57df\u770b\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u52a0\u5feb\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u6301\u7eed\u5f70\u663e\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5173\u952e\u652f\u6491\u4f5c\u7528\uff1b\u975e\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6062\u590d\u529b\u5ea6\u6709\u6240\u56de\u5347\uff1b\u6b27\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4fdd\u6301\u5f31\u52bf\u6062\u590d\u6001\u52bf\uff0c\u4f46\u6062\u590d\u901f\u5ea6\u7565\u6709\u51cf\u5f31\uff1b\u7f8e\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u5f31\u52bf\u4e0b\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">\u4ece2025\u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u8868\u73b0\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6574\u4f53\u6062\u590d\u529b\u5ea6\u8981\u7565\u597d\u4e8e2024\u5e74\uff0c\u4f46\u6307\u6570\u5747\u503c\u6c34\u5e73\u4ecd\u4f4e\u4e8e50%\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5728\u5173\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\u5f71\u54cd\u3001\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u51b2\u7a81\u7b49\u591a\u91cd\u51b2\u51fb\u4e0b\uff0c\u590d\u82cf\u6001\u52bf\u4ecd\u7a33\u4e2d\u504f\u5f31\uff0c\u6062\u590d\u529b\u5ea6\u4ecd\u9700\u52a0\u5f3a\u3002\u4ece\u5404\u5b63\u8d70\u52bf\u770b\uff0c2024\u5e74\u4e00\u5b63\u5ea6\u5168\u7403\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6062\u590d\u6001\u52bf\u76f8\u5bf9\u5e73\u7a33\uff0cPMI\u5747\u503c\u4e3a49.9%\uff1b\u4e8c\u5b63\u5ea6\u53d7\u5173\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6062\u590d\u529b\u5ea6\u6709\u6240\u8d8b\u5f31\uff0cPMI\u5747\u503c\u4e3a49.3%\uff1b\u4e09\u3001\u56db\u5b63\u5ea6\u6709\u6240\u56de\u5347\uff0cPMI\u5747\u503c\u5747\u4e3a49.6%\u3002\u5206\u533a\u57df\u770b\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6062\u590d\u529b\u5ea6\u4ecd\u6700\u5f3a\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u5747\u503c\u867d\u8f832024\u5e74\u5fae\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u572850%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7a33\u5b9a\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u652f\u6491\u3002\u975e\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6062\u590d\u529b\u5ea6\u6709\u6240\u589e\u5f3a\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u5747\u503c\u5347\u81f350%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u6b27\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u4e0b\u964d\u6001\u52bf\u6709\u6240\u6536\u7a84\uff0c\u4f46\u6062\u590d\u6001\u52bf\u4ecd\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u5f31\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u5747\u503c\u572849%\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff1b\u7f8e\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6062\u590d\u529b\u5ea6\u8f832024\u5e74\u6301\u5e73\uff0c\u7ee7\u7eed\u4fdd\u6301\u504f\u5f31\u6062\u590d\u6001\u52bf\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u5747\u503c\u4ecd\u572849%\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">\u5c55\u671b2026\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6216\u4ecd\u9762\u4e34\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u7ee7\u7eed\u4fdd\u6301\u5f31\u52bf\u590d\u82cf\u6001\u52bf\u3002\u5f53\u524d\u4e3b\u8981\u56fd\u9645\u7ecf\u6d4e\u673a\u6784\u4ecd\u666e\u904d\u9884\u6d4b2026\u5e74\u4e16\u754c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u5c06\u6709\u6240\u653e\u7f13\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5408\u4f5c\u4e0e\u53d1\u5c55\u7ec4\u7ec7(OECD)\u53d1\u5e03\u6700\u65b0\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c55\u671b\u62a5\u544a\uff0c\u9884\u8ba12025\u5e74\u548c2026\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u5206\u522b\u4e3a3.2%\u548c2.9%\uff0c\u4e0e2025\u5e749\u6708\u9884\u6d4b\u4e00\u81f4\u30022026\u5e74\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u5730\u7f18\u51b2\u7a81\u4ecd\u5c06\u662f\u6270\u52a8\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6062\u590d\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u8d38\u6613\u4fdd\u62a4\u4e3b\u4e49\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u8513\u5ef6\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6291\u5236\u56fd\u9645\u8d38\u6613\u6d3b\u529b\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u8d38\u6613\u8d70\u52bf\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u6709\u6240\u4e0a\u5347\u3002WTO\u6700\u65b0\u9884\u6d4b\u663e\u793a\uff0c2026\u5e74\u5168\u7403\u8d27\u7269\u8d38\u6613\u589e\u957f\u9884\u671f\u5927\u5e45\u4e0b\u8c03\u81f30.5%\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u670d\u52a1\u51fa\u53e3\u589e\u901f\u964d\u81f34.4%\u3002\u540c\u65f6\u5168\u7403\u591a\u56fd\u4ecd\u6df1\u9677\u9ad8\u503a\u52a1\u3001\u9ad8\u8d64\u5b57\u7684\u56f0\u5883\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u6301\u7eed\u6270\u52a8\u5168\u7403\u6cbb\u7406\u683c\u5c40\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">\u4f46\u4e5f\u8981\u770b\u5230\uff0c\u5f53\u524d\u5168\u7403\u901a\u80c0\u6c34\u5e73\u603b\u4f53\u5448\u73b0\u4e0b\u884c\u6001\u52bf\uff0c2026\u5e74\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u6709\u671b\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7f13\u89e3\uff0c\u4e3a\u5404\u56fd\u653f\u7b56\u8c03\u6574\u9884\u7559\u66f4\u5927\u7a7a\u95f4\u3002\u800c\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u9886\u57df\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u70ed\u6f6e\u6b63\u52a0\u901f\u5f62\u6210\u589e\u957f\u65b0\u52a8\u80fd\uff0c\u65e2\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u63d0\u4f9b\u589e\u91cf\u652f\u6491\uff0c\u66f4\u5c06\u63a8\u52a8\u5168\u7403\u4ea7\u4e1a\u8fed\u4ee3\u5347\u7ea7\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ed3\u6784\u4f18\u5316\uff0c\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u5bf9\u51b2\u4e0b\u884c\u98ce\u9669\uff0c\u7a33\u5b9a\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u76d8\u3002\u9762\u5bf9\u590d\u6742\u73af\u5883\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u56fd\u5e94\u52a0\u901f\u7b56\u7565\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u5bf9\u5185\u805a\u7126\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u6539\u9769\uff0c\u5bf9\u5916\u6df1\u5316\u533a\u57df\u534f\u540c\uff0c\u5728\u5f00\u653e\u5408\u4f5c\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b89\u5168\u95f4\u5bfb\u6c42\u52a8\u6001\u5e73\u8861\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8AI\u6280\u672f\u89c4\u8303\u5e94\u7528\u4e0e\u7eff\u8272\u8f6c\u578b\u666e\u60e0\u5316\uff0c\u6784\u5efa\u5305\u5bb9\u8054\u52a8\u7684\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6cbb\u7406\u4f53\u7cfb\uff0c\u65b9\u80fd\u7834\u89e3\u589e\u957f\u74f6\u9888\uff0c\u5b9e\u73b0\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u590d\u82cf\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">\u7f8e\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u5f31\u52bf\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u884c\uff0cPMI\u8fde\u7eed\u4e0b\u964d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">2025\u5e7412\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u7f8e\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4e3a47.9%\uff0c\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u4e0b\u964d0.4\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u81f348%\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed3\u4e2a\u6708\u73af\u6bd4\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed10\u4e2a\u6708\u4f4e\u4e8e50%\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u7f8e\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u5f31\u52bf\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u884c\u3002\u4e3b\u8981\u56fd\u5bb6\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c12\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u3001\u5df4\u897f\u548c\u58a8\u897f\u54e5\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u5747\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4e14\u6307\u6570\u5747\u572848%\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff1b\u52a0\u62ff\u5927\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u6709\u5c0f\u5e45\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4f46\u6307\u6570\u4ecd\u572849%\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff1b\u54e5\u4f26\u6bd4\u4e9a\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u572850%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">ISM\u62a5\u544a\u663e\u793a\uff0c2025\u5e7412\u6708\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4e3a47.9%\uff0c\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u4e0b\u964d0.3\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed5\u4e2a\u6708\u73af\u6bd4\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed10\u4e2a\u6708\u4f4e\u4e8e50%\u4e14\u521b2025\u5e74\u65b0\u4f4e\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u7f8e\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6574\u4f53\u4e0b\u884c\u6001\u52bf\u6709\u6240\u52a0\u5feb\u3002\u5206\u9879\u6307\u6570\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u65b0\u8ba2\u5355\u6307\u6570\u6709\u6240\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e48%\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u9700\u6c42\u4fa7\u964d\u5e45\u7565\u6709\u6536\u7a84\u4f46\u4ecd\u504f\u5f31\u8fd0\u884c\uff1b\u751f\u4ea7\u6307\u6570\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u6c34\u5e73\u4e3a51%\uff0c\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e\u6269\u5f20\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u751f\u4ea7\u4fdd\u6301\u6269\u5f20\uff0c\u589e\u901f\u7565\u6709\u653e\u7f13\uff1b\u4ece\u4e1a\u4eba\u5458\u6307\u6570\u6709\u6240\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4ecd\u572845%\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u964d\u52bf\u7565\u6709\u6536\u7a84\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u5f31\u52bf\uff1b\u8d2d\u8fdb\u4ef7\u683c\u6307\u6570\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u6301\u5e73\uff0c\u6301\u7eed\u4fdd\u6301\u572858%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u5173\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\u5f71\u54cd\u5bf9\u6210\u672c\u7aef\u7684\u4f20\u5bfc\u538b\u529b\u4ecd\u5728\u6301\u7eed\u30022025\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u5747\u503c\u4e3a48.9%\uff0c\u8f832024\u5e74\u4e0a\u53470.6\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u8868\u660e2025\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u590d\u82cf\u52a8\u80fd\u8f832024\u5e74\u7565\u6709\u6539\u5584\uff0c\u4f46\u5747\u503c\u6c34\u5e73\u4ecd\u572849%\u4ee5\u4e0b\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u7f8e\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6062\u590d\u529b\u5ea6\u4ecd\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u5f31\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">\u5c55\u671b2026\u5e74\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u94f6\u884c\u5168\u7403\u7814\u7a76\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u52302026\u5e74\u5e95\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u5c06\u7ef4\u6301\u57282%\u4e2d\u6bb5\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u503c\u5f97\u8b66\u60d5\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u4e0b\u884c\u98ce\u9669\u7684\u7d2f\u79ef\u4ecd\u9700\u91cd\u70b9\u5173\u6ce8\uff0c\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u5e9c\u505c\u6446\u5f71\u54cd\u3001\u5c31\u4e1a\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u75b2\u8f6f\u4ee5\u53ca\u5173\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\u63a8\u52a8\u5546\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u6301\u7eed\u4e0a\u6da8\u7b49\u591a\u91cd\u4e0d\u5229\u56e0\u7d20\u4ecd\u6301\u7eed\u5236\u7ea6\u7f8e\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\u7f8e\u56fd\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u4e5f\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c2025\u5e7412\u6708\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4fe1\u5fc3\u6307\u6570\u4ece11\u6708\u4fee\u8ba2\u540e\u768492.9\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u4e0b\u6ed1\u81f389.1\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed\u7b2c\u4e94\u4e2a\u6708\u8d70\u4f4e\uff0c\u4e3a\u4eca\u5e744\u6708\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u663e\u793a\u5c45\u6c11\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u7684\u9884\u671f\u8f6c\u5f31\u3002\u901a\u80c0\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u4e09\u5b63\u5ea6\u6838\u5fc3\u7f8e\u56fdPCE\u7269\u4ef7\u6307\u6570\u5347\u81f32.9%\u7684\u9ad8\u4f4d\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u538b\u529b\u4ecd\u672a\u5b8c\u5168\u6d88\u9000\uff0c\u53e0\u52a0\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u653e\u7f13\uff0c\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u672a\u6765\u51b3\u7b56\u590d\u6742\u5ea6\u589e\u52a0\uff0c\u901a\u80c0\u53cd\u5f39\u53ef\u80fd\u8feb\u4f7f\u964d\u606f\u8fdb\u7a0b\u63a8\u8fdf\u6216\u9006\u8f6c\uff0c\u8fdb\u800c\u5bf9\u6574\u4f53\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u8282\u594f\u4ea7\u751f\u8fde\u9501\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">\u975e\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6709\u6240\u56de\u5347\uff0cPMI\u5347\u81f350%\u4ee5\u4e0a<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">2025\u5e7412\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4e3a50.7%\uff0c\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u4e0a\u53471.3\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u518d\u6b21\u5347\u81f350%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u4ece\u4e3b\u8981\u56fd\u5bb6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u80af\u5c3c\u4e9a\u548c\u5c3c\u65e5\u5229\u4e9a\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u572853%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u8f83\u9ad8\u6c34\u5e73\uff1b\u57c3\u53ca\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u6709\u6240\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4ecd\u572850%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">\u7efc\u5408\u6570\u636e\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6062\u590d\u529b\u5ea6\u6709\u6240\u56de\u5347\uff0c\u6307\u6570\u518d\u6b21\u5347\u81f3\u6269\u5f20\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u8868\u660e\u975e\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u57fa\u7840\u6709\u6240\u589e\u5f3a\u30022025\u5e74\u975e\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u5747\u503c\u8981\u9ad8\u4e8e2024\u5e74\uff0c\u4e14\u5347\u81f350%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u6269\u5f20\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u610f\u5473\u77402025\u5e74\u975e\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6062\u590d\u529b\u5ea6\u6709\u6240\u589e\u5f3a\uff0c\u6574\u4f53\u7a33\u4e2d\u8d8b\u597d\u8fd0\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">\u5c55\u671b2026\u5e74\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ecd\u6709\u5411\u597d\u590d\u82cf\u57fa\u7840\u3002\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7(IMF)\u6700\u65b0\u9884\u6d4b\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u6b63\u84c4\u52bf\u5f85\u53d1\uff0c2026\u5e74\u5c06\u62e5\u6709\u5168\u7403\u6570\u91cf\u6700\u591a\u7684\u9ad8\u589e\u957f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f53\uff0c\u589e\u901f\u81f3\u5c11\u8fbe6%\u3002\u968f\u7740\u975e\u6d32\u81ea\u8d38\u533a\u6574\u5408\u6301\u7eed\u6df1\u5316\uff0c\u8de8\u5883\u57fa\u5efa\u9879\u76ee\u7a33\u6b65\u63a8\u8fdb\uff0c\u53e0\u52a0\u201c\u4e00\u5e26\u4e00\u8def\u201d\u5408\u4f5c\u7ea2\u5229\uff0c\u5c06\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u7545\u901a\u533a\u57df\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5faa\u73af\uff0c\u4e3a\u5de5\u4e1a\u5316\u8f6c\u578b\u6ce8\u5165\u52a8\u529b\u3002\u4f46\u503c\u5f97\u6ce8\u610f\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u975e\u6d32\u56fd\u5bb6\u503a\u52a1\u538b\u529b\u4ecd\u8f83\u4e3a\u7a81\u51fa\uff0c\u9ad8\u989d\u507f\u503a\u6210\u672c\u5c06\u4e25\u91cd\u6324\u5360\u53d1\u5c55\u8d44\u91d1\u3002\u540c\u65f6\u975e\u6d32\u7535\u529b\u77ed\u7f3a\u95ee\u9898\u6301\u7eed\u5236\u7ea6\u5de5\u4e1a\u53d1\u5c55\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u6c14\u5019\u51b2\u51fb\u3001\u5c40\u90e8\u653f\u6cbb\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u4e5f\u5c06\u7ed9\u975e\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u5e26\u6765\u6f5c\u5728\u6270\u52a8\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">\u6b27\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u7a33\u4e2d\u8d8b\u5f31\uff0cPMI\u7565\u6709\u4e0b\u964d<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">2025\u5e7412\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4e3a49.3%\uff0c\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u4e0b\u964d0.3\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed6\u4e2a\u6708\u4fdd\u6301\u572849%\u53ca\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u4ece\u4e3b\u8981\u56fd\u5bb6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u82f1\u56fd\u3001\u6cd5\u56fd\u548c\u5e0c\u814a\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4e14\u572850%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u7684\u6269\u5f20\u533a\u95f4\uff1b\u5fb7\u56fd\u548c\u610f\u5927\u5229\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4e14\u5747\u964d\u81f348%\u4ee5\u4e0b\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">\u7efc\u5408\u6570\u636e\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4e0e\u4e0a\u6708\u76f8\u6bd4\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6574\u4f53\u4ecd\u4fdd\u6301\u5f31\u52bf\u6062\u590d\u6001\u52bf\uff0c\u6062\u590d\u901f\u5ea6\u7565\u6709\u51cf\u5f31\u3002\u540c\u65f6\u5c3d\u7ba12025\u5e74\u6b27\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u5747\u503c\u8f832024\u5e74\u6709\u6240\u63d0\u5347\uff0c\u4f46\u6307\u6570\u5747\u503c\u4ecd\u5904\u4e8e49%\u4ee5\u4e0b\u7684\u5f31\u666f\u6c14\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5185\u5916\u4ecd\u9762\u4e34\u8f83\u591a\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u6216\u6301\u7eed\u5bf9\u5176\u590d\u82cf\u901f\u5ea6\u9020\u6210\u6291\u5236\u3002\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u5f53\u524d\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u51b2\u7a81\u7684\u6301\u7eed\u53d1\u9175\u4e0e\u7f8e\u6b27\u5173\u7a0e\u653f\u7b56\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u6301\u7eed\u7ed9\u6b27\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6062\u590d\u7684\u5916\u90e8\u73af\u5883\u5e26\u6765\u8f83\u591a\u6270\u52a8\u3002\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u5185\u90e8\u4e5f\u9762\u4e34\u8bf8\u591a\u56f0\u5883\uff0c\u4f5c\u4e3a\u6b27\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u706b\u8f66\u5934\u7684\u5fb7\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u524d\u666f\u9762\u4e34\u8f83\u5927\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u5fb7\u56fd\u667a\u5e93IFO\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\u62402025\u5e7412\u6708\u4e0b\u8c03\u5fb7\u56fd2026\u5e74\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u9884\u671f\u4e3a0.8%\uff0c\u6bd4\u79cb\u5b63\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u4f4e0.5\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u6cd5\u56fd\u4e5f\u6301\u7eed\u9762\u4e34\u503a\u52a1\u6500\u5347\u3001\u8d64\u5b57\u9ad8\u4f01\u3001\u7ecf\u6d4e\u505c\u6ede\u7b49\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u6cd5\u56fd\u503a\u52a1\u5360\u5176\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u5c06\u4ece2025\u5e74\u7684\u7ea6116%\u4e0a\u5347\u52302030\u5e74\u7684\u8fd1130%\u3002\u4e3a\u5e94\u5bf9\u591a\u91cd\u6311\u6218\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u592e\u884c2025\u5e7412\u6708\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u4f1a\u8bae\u51b3\u5b9a\u7ef4\u6301\u4e09\u5927\u5173\u952e\u5229\u7387\u4e0d\u53d8\uff0c\u540c\u671f\u6b27\u5143\u533aCPI\u7a33\u5b9a\u57282.1%\u7684\u5408\u7406\u533a\u95f4\uff0c\u4e3a\u5229\u7387\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e86\u575a\u5b9e\u6570\u636e\u652f\u6491\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">\u5c55\u671b2026\u5e74\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c06\u7ee7\u7eed\u5728\u97e7\u6027\u4e0e\u538b\u529b\u4e2d\u5bfb\u6c42\u5e73\u8861\u3002\u5fb7\u56fd\u7684\u4e07\u4ebf\u6b27\u5143\u57fa\u5efa\u4e0e\u9632\u52a1\u6295\u8d44\u8ba1\u5212\u3001\u4fdd\u52a0\u5229\u4e9a\u52a0\u5165\u6b27\u5143\u533a\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u6709\u671b\u4e3a\u6b27\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6ce8\u5165\u589e\u957f\u52a8\u80fd\uff0c\u4f46\u7f8e\u6b27\u8d38\u6613\u6469\u64e6\u7684\u6f5c\u5728\u5347\u7ea7\u3001\u8d22\u653f\u548c\u503a\u52a1\u538b\u529b\u589e\u5927\u3001\u80fd\u6e90\u4ef7\u683c\u6ce2\u52a8\u53ca\u7ed3\u6784\u6027\u6539\u9769\u6ede\u540e\u7b49\u98ce\u9669\u4ecd\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u6270\u52a8\u3002\u82e5\u80fd\u6df1\u5316\u5355\u4e00\u5e02\u573a\u6574\u5408\u3001\u63a8\u8fdb\u76d1\u7ba1\u6539\u9769\u5e76\u59a5\u5584\u7ba1\u63a7\u8d38\u6613\u5206\u6b67\uff0c\u6b27\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6709\u671b\u5de9\u56fa\u6e29\u548c\u590d\u82cf\u6001\u52bf\uff0c\u9010\u6b65\u63d0\u5347\u589e\u957f\u7684\u53ef\u6301\u7eed\u6027\u4e0e\u5185\u751f\u52a8\u529b\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">\u4e9a\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u52a0\u5feb\u6269\u5f20\uff0cPMI\u6709\u6240\u4e0a\u5347<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">2025\u5e7412\u6708\u4efd\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4e3a51.1%\uff0c\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u4e0a\u53470.4\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed8\u4e2a\u6708\u572850%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u4ece\u4e3b\u8981\u56fd\u5bb6\u6765\u770b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u6709\u6240\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u572850%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff1b\u5370\u5ea6\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u572855%\uff1b\u4e1c\u76df\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e2d\uff0c\u6cf0\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u572855%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff0c\u9a6c\u6765\u897f\u4e9a\u3001\u65b0\u52a0\u5761\u3001\u5370\u5c3c\u3001\u83f2\u5f8b\u5bbe\u548c\u7f05\u7538\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u5747\u572850%\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff1b\u65e5\u672c\u548c\u97e9\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u5747\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u5904\u4e8e50%\u4e34\u754c\u70b9\uff0c\u97e9\u56fd\u7565\u9ad8\u4e8e50%\u3002<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: left;text-indent: 2em\">\u7efc\u5408\u6570\u636e\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u7ee7\u7eed\u4fdd\u6301\u6269\u5f20\u6001\u52bf\uff0c\u4e14\u589e\u901f\u6709\u6240\u52a0\u5feb\uff0c\u6301\u7eed\u5f70\u663e\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5173\u952e\u652f\u6491\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u4e3a\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u6ce8\u5165\u6301\u7eed\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u53d1\u5c55\u52a8\u529b\u30022025\u5e74\u4e9a\u6d32\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u6301\u7eed\u5448\u73b0\u7a33\u5b9a\u8f83\u597d\u6269\u5f20\u6001\u52bf\uff0c\u5168\u5e74\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u5747\u503c\u867d\u8f832024\u5e74\u5fae\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u4f46\u4ecd\u572850%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u5c55\u671b2026\u5e74\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u91ca\u653e\u9ad8\u8d28\u91cf\u53d1\u5c55\u52a8\u80fd\u4e0e\u589e\u957f\u6d3b\u529b\uff0c\u4ecd\u662f\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u590d\u82cf\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u5f15\u64ce\u3002\u968f\u7740\u300a\u533a\u57df\u5168\u9762\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4f19\u4f34\u5173\u7cfb\u534f\u5b9a\u300b\u751f\u6548\u7ea2\u5229\u6301\u7eed\u91ca\u653e\uff0c\u63a8\u52a8\u533a\u57df\u4ea7\u4e1a\u94fe\u878d\u5408\u4e0e\u8d38\u6613\u4fbf\u5229\u5316\u6c34\u5e73\u518d\u5347\u7ea7\u3002\u540c\u65f6\u4e2d\u56fd\u4f9d\u65e7\u662f\u4e9a\u6d32\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e43\u81f3\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e73\u7a33\u8fd0\u884c\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u5668\u548c\u538b\u8231\u77f3\uff0c\u9884\u8ba12026\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u79ef\u6781\u7684\u8d22\u653f\u653f\u7b56\u4e0e\u7075\u6d3b\u9002\u5ea6\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u653f\u7b56\u534f\u540c\u53d1\u529b\u4e0b\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u56de\u5347\u5411\u597d\u6001\u52bf\u5c06\u6301\u7eed\u5de9\u56fa\u3002\u8fd1\u671f\u56fd\u9645\u8d27\u5e01\u57fa\u91d1\u7ec4\u7ec7(IMF)\u3001\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u7eb7\u7eb7\u4e0a\u8c032025\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u9884\u671f\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\uff0cIMF\u9884\u8ba1\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u57282025\u5e74\u548c2026\u5e74\u5c06\u5206\u522b\u589e\u957f5.0%\u548c4.5%\uff0c\u8f8310\u6708\u9884\u6d4b\u503c\u5206\u522b\u4e0a\u8c030.2\u4e2a\u548c0.3\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u94f6\u884c\u5728\u6700\u65b0\u4e00\u671f\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7b80\u62a5\u4e2d\uff0c\u5c062025\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u9884\u671f\u4e0a\u8c030.4\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"bianji\">(\u8d23\u4efb\u7f16\u8f91\uff1a\u4f55\u6b23)<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u7269\u6d41\u4e0e\u91c7\u8d2d\u8054\u5408\u4f1a\u53d1\u5e03\uff0c2025\u5e7412\u6708\u4efd\u5168\u7403\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u4e3a49.5%\uff0c\u8f83\u4e0a\u6708\u5fae\u5e45\u4e0b\u964d0.1\u4e2a\u767e\u5206\u70b9\uff0c\u8fde\u7eed10\u4e2a\u6708\u8fd0\u884c\u572849%-50%\u7684\u533a\u95f4\u5185\u30022025\u5e74\uff0c\u5168\u7403\u5236\u9020\u4e1aPMI\u5747\u503c\u4e3a49.6%\uff0c\u8f83202&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-102875","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-finance"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102875","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=102875"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/102875\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=102875"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=102875"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.chinesepress.com\/pre\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=102875"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}